diff --git a/app/App.css b/app/App.css index 2a0bc55..2112ee9 100644 --- a/app/App.css +++ b/app/App.css @@ -34,7 +34,7 @@ background: rgba(15, 118, 110, 0.95); backdrop-filter: blur(12px); -webkit-backdrop-filter: blur(12px); - padding: var(--pe-space-md) var(--pe-space-xl); + padding: var(--pe-space-md) 0; width: 100%; position: sticky; top: 0; @@ -45,6 +45,7 @@ .title-row-inner { max-width: 1400px; margin: 0 auto; + padding: 0 var(--pe-space-xl); display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center; @@ -65,7 +66,6 @@ font-size: 1.05rem; line-height: 1.7; color: var(--pe-text-secondary); - max-width: 820px; margin-bottom: var(--pe-space-xl); animation: fadeIn 0.4s ease-out; } @@ -491,7 +491,11 @@ } .title-row { - padding: var(--pe-space-sm) var(--pe-space-md); + padding: var(--pe-space-sm) 0; + } + + .title-row-inner { + padding: 0 var(--pe-space-md); } .title-row h1 { diff --git a/app/page.jsx b/app/page.jsx index 62762fc..3af961a 100644 --- a/app/page.jsx +++ b/app/page.jsx @@ -77,12 +77,19 @@ function Dashboard() {
-

Spring Statement 2026

+

Spring Statement 2026 analysis

- PolicyEngine analysis of the OBR's March 2026 economic forecast + PolicyEngine analysis of the{" "} + + OBR's March 2026 economic forecast + {" "} revisions and their projected impact on UK household incomes. The Spring Statement contained no new policy measures — all changes result from updated economic assumptions. diff --git a/public/data/detailed_budgetary_impact.csv b/public/data/detailed_budgetary_impact.csv index eddd4ef..7afe079 100644 --- a/public/data/detailed_budgetary_impact.csv +++ b/public/data/detailed_budgetary_impact.csv @@ -1,51 +1,51 @@ year,program,baseline,reform,difference -2026,income_tax,303272.73899443523,303272.73899443523,0.0 -2026,national_insurance,56035.53018029651,56035.53018029651,0.0 -2026,vat,200684.99023889532,200684.99023889532,0.0 -2026,council_tax,60975.72982729077,60975.72982729077,0.0 -2026,fuel_duty,34765.63809750822,34765.63809750822,0.0 -2026,tax_credits,5406.764615242458,5406.764615242458,-0.0 -2026,universal_credit,80875.61182102392,80875.61182102392,-0.0 -2026,child_benefit,15677.099071694834,15677.099071694834,-0.0 -2026,state_pension,122276.98239907347,122276.98239907347,-0.0 -2026,pension_credit,5989.291994108764,5989.291994108764,-0.0 -2027,income_tax,318842.63694264094,318842.63694264094,0.0 -2027,national_insurance,58063.57606287163,58063.57606287163,0.0 -2027,vat,205496.36494742037,205496.36494742037,0.0 -2027,council_tax,64659.05849905342,64659.05849905342,0.0 -2027,fuel_duty,39462.0899228921,39462.0899228921,0.0 -2027,tax_credits,5558.882313274557,5558.882313274557,-0.0 -2027,universal_credit,83077.66709902306,83077.66709902306,-0.0 -2027,child_benefit,16125.300974580407,16125.300974580407,-0.0 -2027,state_pension,126142.7111801254,126142.7111801254,-0.0 -2027,pension_credit,6103.4966800892735,6103.4966800892735,-0.0 -2028,income_tax,332888.4167182199,332888.4167182199,0.0 -2028,national_insurance,58846.53796278711,58846.53796278711,0.0 -2028,vat,210527.23408144133,210527.23408144133,0.0 -2028,council_tax,68507.11337248725,68507.11337248725,0.0 -2028,fuel_duty,41970.256974364114,41970.256974364114,0.0 -2028,tax_credits,5681.531851997269,5681.531851997269,-0.0 -2028,universal_credit,85396.48175922343,85396.48175922343,-0.0 -2028,child_benefit,16516.8669624525,16516.8669624525,-0.0 -2028,state_pension,129329.04617681382,129329.04617681382,-0.0 -2028,pension_credit,6190.7437699792235,6190.7437699792235,-0.0 -2029,income_tax,347810.65010074497,347810.65010074497,0.0 -2029,national_insurance,60484.88450799108,60484.88450799108,0.0 -2029,vat,215767.21074488971,215767.21074488971,0.0 -2029,council_tax,72505.6181612071,72505.6181612071,0.0 -2029,fuel_duty,44280.64615361491,44280.64615361491,0.0 -2029,tax_credits,5811.8286665137675,5811.8286665137675,-0.0 -2029,universal_credit,87999.0821609842,87999.0821609842,-0.0 -2029,child_benefit,16927.9919284299,16927.9919284299,-0.0 -2029,state_pension,132659.48127452147,132659.48127452147,-0.0 -2029,pension_credit,6263.407463412997,6263.407463412997,-0.0 -2030,income_tax,364245.2533321321,364245.2533321321,0.0 -2030,national_insurance,62468.09505541894,62468.09505541894,0.0 -2030,vat,221072.93211309024,221072.93211309024,0.0 -2030,council_tax,76714.3507657324,76714.3507657324,0.0 -2030,fuel_duty,46687.89005494893,46687.89005494893,0.0 -2030,tax_credits,5937.397368991846,5937.397368991846,-0.0 -2030,universal_credit,89904.66771697627,89904.66771697627,-0.0 -2030,child_benefit,17351.062528444258,17351.062528444258,-0.0 -2030,state_pension,136099.19445440217,136099.19445440217,-0.0 -2030,pension_credit,5732.043683078642,5732.043683078642,-0.0 +2026,income_tax,304730.8439144392,304744.0698935997,13.225979160522462 +2026,national_insurance,55737.99965794466,56141.3191489743,403.3194910296402 +2026,vat,200835.8714179344,200835.8714179344,0.0 +2026,council_tax,60664.11190772149,60664.11190772149,0.0 +2026,fuel_duty,35463.747557224386,35463.747557224386,0.0 +2026,tax_credits,5290.852230760112,5286.707752740712,4.144478019400597 +2026,universal_credit,80892.74900119173,80867.7426383464,25.006362845321654 +2026,child_benefit,15611.400307538195,15603.84313430796,7.557173230236053 +2026,state_pension,122078.41468818983,122176.21637289779,-97.80168470796204 +2026,pension_credit,5972.874071519186,5954.92955415779,17.944517361395835 +2027,income_tax,320908.0067779534,320934.23671441426,26.22993646081543 +2027,national_insurance,58186.76532734835,57479.012494316165,-707.7528330321884 +2027,vat,205610.5477711693,205610.5477711693,0.0 +2027,council_tax,64519.435719095694,64519.435719095694,0.0 +2027,fuel_duty,40246.61442554191,40246.61442554191,0.0 +2027,tax_credits,5436.194798181148,5416.586102475047,19.60869570610237 +2027,universal_credit,82995.18245214972,82906.04219420836,89.14025794136047 +2027,child_benefit,16057.736020704735,16021.75957636995,35.97644433478546 +2027,state_pension,125938.71122687338,126143.831024713,-205.11979783961488 +2027,pension_credit,6085.320196301552,6024.0809320465605,61.23926425499153 +2028,income_tax,335134.91884455556,335164.9201421303,30.001297574768067 +2028,national_insurance,58915.746722880016,58806.409548955045,-109.3371739249649 +2028,vat,210561.63934467576,210561.63934467576,0.0 +2028,council_tax,68699.73700763391,68699.73700763391,0.0 +2028,fuel_duty,42787.86606888584,42787.86606888584,0.0 +2028,tax_credits,5555.893679060627,5534.008332033964,21.88534702666378 +2028,universal_credit,85295.01359726118,85198.50800779137,96.50558946980286 +2028,child_benefit,16447.663123018487,16407.538359263017,40.124763755470276 +2028,state_pension,129121.12650330196,129331.85101443302,-210.72451113105774 +2028,pension_credit,6174.526047702704,6108.649815220868,65.87623248183633 +2029,income_tax,350155.8273071976,350188.269292015,32.44198481738281 +2029,national_insurance,61384.56714483321,61774.167857809356,389.60071297615053 +2029,vat,215717.8752039614,215717.8752039614,0.0 +2029,council_tax,72862.3997553772,72862.3997553772,0.0 +2029,fuel_duty,45125.56573567095,45125.56573567095,0.0 +2029,tax_credits,5682.515596333218,5656.567814368341,25.947781964878082 +2029,universal_credit,87912.83786355042,87801.65622456431,111.18163898609924 +2029,child_benefit,16857.063952252585,16809.306644069908,47.75730818267822 +2029,state_pension,132446.50504959468,132663.80369090423,-217.2986413095703 +2029,pension_credit,6239.735857206298,6165.61580016285,74.12005704344749 +2030,income_tax,367081.0083849407,367114.8418567441,33.833471803405764 +2030,national_insurance,62611.38354587946,63411.14844326598,799.7648973865204 +2030,vat,221022.3838654562,221022.3838654562,0.0 +2030,council_tax,77210.71335799992,77210.71335799992,0.0 +2030,fuel_duty,47578.74239954073,47578.74239954073,0.0 +2030,tax_credits,5803.93303676049,5773.654437884992,30.278598875496865 +2030,universal_credit,89749.45900276749,89492.85746436992,256.60153839756777 +2030,child_benefit,17278.36202601888,17222.61199670249,55.75002931639099 +2030,state_pension,135881.71015803205,136105.63123261754,-223.92107458551024 +2030,pension_credit,5770.899498894896,5687.848066462216,83.05143243268108 diff --git a/public/data/distributional_impact.csv b/public/data/distributional_impact.csv index 1849005..948bde7 100644 --- a/public/data/distributional_impact.csv +++ b/public/data/distributional_impact.csv @@ -1,56 +1,56 @@ -year,decile,absolute_change,relative_change -2026,1st,0.0,0.0 -2026,2nd,0.0,0.0 -2026,3rd,0.0,0.0 -2026,4th,0.0,0.0 -2026,5th,0.0,0.0 -2026,6th,0.0,0.0 -2026,7th,0.0,0.0 -2026,8th,0.0,0.0 -2026,9th,0.0,0.0 -2026,10th,0.0,0.0 -2026,All,0.0,0.0 -2027,1st,0.0,0.0 -2027,2nd,0.0,0.0 -2027,3rd,0.0,0.0 -2027,4th,0.0,0.0 -2027,5th,0.0,0.0 -2027,6th,0.0,0.0 -2027,7th,0.0,0.0 -2027,8th,0.0,0.0 -2027,9th,0.0,0.0 -2027,10th,0.0,0.0 -2027,All,0.0,0.0 -2028,1st,0.0,0.0 -2028,2nd,0.0,0.0 -2028,3rd,0.0,0.0 -2028,4th,0.0,0.0 -2028,5th,0.0,0.0 -2028,6th,0.0,0.0 -2028,7th,0.0,0.0 -2028,8th,0.0,0.0 -2028,9th,0.0,0.0 -2028,10th,0.0,0.0 -2028,All,0.0,0.0 -2029,1st,0.0,0.0 -2029,2nd,0.0,0.0 -2029,3rd,0.0,0.0 -2029,4th,0.0,0.0 -2029,5th,0.0,0.0 -2029,6th,0.0,0.0 -2029,7th,0.0,0.0 -2029,8th,0.0,0.0 -2029,9th,0.0,0.0 -2029,10th,0.0,0.0 -2029,All,0.0,0.0 -2030,1st,0.0,0.0 -2030,2nd,0.0,0.0 -2030,3rd,0.0,0.0 -2030,4th,0.0,0.0 -2030,5th,0.0,0.0 -2030,6th,0.0,0.0 -2030,7th,0.0,0.0 -2030,8th,0.0,0.0 -2030,9th,0.0,0.0 -2030,10th,0.0,0.0 -2030,All,0.0,0.0 +year,decile,absolute_change_nominal,absolute_change_real,relative_change_nominal,relative_change_real +2026,1st,0.8,0.8,0.004,0.004 +2026,2nd,0.91,0.91,0.003,0.003 +2026,3rd,-0.4,-0.4,-0.0011,-0.0011 +2026,4th,-0.71,-0.71,-0.0017,-0.0017 +2026,5th,-0.31,-0.31,-0.0007,-0.0007 +2026,6th,-0.24,-0.24,-0.0005,-0.0005 +2026,7th,0.12,0.12,0.0002,0.0002 +2026,8th,2.27,2.27,0.0034,0.0034 +2026,9th,6.03,6.03,0.0083,0.0083 +2026,10th,-133.24,-133.24,-0.1061,-0.1061 +2026,All,-12.6,-12.6,-0.0233,-0.0233 +2027,1st,-1.86,2.15,-0.0091,0.0108 +2027,2nd,-4.87,1.32,-0.0156,0.0043 +2027,3rd,-7.93,-0.46,-0.0212,-0.0012 +2027,4th,-8.27,0.37,-0.0191,0.0009 +2027,5th,-8.51,0.76,-0.0183,0.0017 +2027,6th,-5.5,4.99,-0.0104,0.0096 +2027,7th,-8.21,2.99,-0.0145,0.0054 +2027,8th,-2.83,10.32,-0.0042,0.0157 +2027,9th,2.31,16.71,0.0031,0.0231 +2027,10th,215.04,235.77,0.1685,0.1885 +2027,All,17.32,27.72,0.0315,0.0515 +2028,1st,-2.34,9.48,-0.0114,0.048 +2028,2nd,-6.29,11.92,-0.02,0.0394 +2028,3rd,-9.98,12.22,-0.0261,0.0333 +2028,4th,-9.5,16.04,-0.0215,0.0379 +2028,5th,-11.09,16.33,-0.0234,0.0359 +2028,6th,-7.13,24.0,-0.0132,0.0462 +2028,7th,-11.27,21.93,-0.0196,0.0398 +2028,8th,-6.48,32.48,-0.0096,0.0498 +2028,9th,-6.72,36.32,-0.009,0.0504 +2028,10th,45.12,118.05,0.0345,0.0939 +2028,All,-2.41,29.54,-0.0043,0.0551 +2029,1st,-3.38,16.21,-0.0162,0.0827 +2029,2nd,-8.95,21.44,-0.0279,0.071 +2029,3rd,-13.32,23.49,-0.0344,0.0645 +2029,4th,-11.85,30.33,-0.0266,0.0723 +2029,5th,-13.98,31.81,-0.0289,0.0699 +2029,6th,-9.44,42.08,-0.0172,0.0817 +2029,7th,-13.57,41.4,-0.0233,0.0756 +2029,8th,-7.53,56.65,-0.011,0.0879 +2029,9th,-9.85,61.77,-0.0129,0.086 +2029,10th,-106.31,23.86,-0.0798,0.019 +2029,All,-19.66,34.26,-0.0347,0.0642 +2030,1st,-11.24,8.73,-0.0536,0.0451 +2030,2nd,-17.71,13.23,-0.0545,0.0441 +2030,3rd,-21.49,16.01,-0.0546,0.0441 +2030,4th,-19.37,23.19,-0.043,0.0557 +2030,5th,-21.09,25.36,-0.0429,0.0558 +2030,6th,-14.06,38.49,-0.0249,0.0738 +2030,7th,-18.37,36.55,-0.0313,0.0674 +2030,8th,-8.13,55.96,-0.0117,0.0871 +2030,9th,-5.89,64.71,-0.0076,0.0911 +2030,10th,-244.06,-101.39,-0.1793,-0.0807 +2030,All,-38.21,17.25,-0.0663,0.0324 diff --git a/public/data/economic_forecast.json b/public/data/economic_forecast.json index bc81904..3b1ba5a 100644 --- a/public/data/economic_forecast.json +++ b/public/data/economic_forecast.json @@ -127,38 +127,6 @@ "change": 0.0 } ], - "per_capita_gdp": [ - { - "year": 2026, - "previous": 3.3, - "updated": 2.9, - "change": -0.4 - }, - { - "year": 2027, - "previous": 3.3, - "updated": 3.2, - "change": -0.1 - }, - { - "year": 2028, - "previous": 3.0, - "updated": 3.1, - "change": 0.1 - }, - { - "year": 2029, - "previous": 2.9, - "updated": 3.0, - "change": 0.1 - }, - { - "year": 2030, - "previous": 3.1, - "updated": 3.1, - "change": 0.0 - } - ], "social_rent": [ { "year": 2026, diff --git a/public/data/household_comparison.json b/public/data/household_comparison.json index 2a205fb..78f2f0e 100644 --- a/public/data/household_comparison.json +++ b/public/data/household_comparison.json @@ -1,38 +1,272 @@ [ { + "year": 2026, "group": "Single adult, no children", - "baseline_hnet": 29438, - "reformed_hnet": 29430, - "change": -8 + "baseline_hnet": 27647, + "reformed_hnet_nominal": 27648, + "reformed_hnet_real": 27648, + "change_nominal": 0, + "change_real": 0 }, { + "year": 2026, "group": "Couple, no children", - "baseline_hnet": 64188, - "reformed_hnet": 64180, - "change": -8 + "baseline_hnet": 70150, + "reformed_hnet_nominal": 70082, + "reformed_hnet_real": 70082, + "change_nominal": -68, + "change_real": -68 }, { + "year": 2026, "group": "Single parent", - "baseline_hnet": 39886, - "reformed_hnet": 39855, - "change": -31 + "baseline_hnet": 37993, + "reformed_hnet_nominal": 37987, + "reformed_hnet_real": 37987, + "change_nominal": -6, + "change_real": -6 }, { + "year": 2026, "group": "Couple with children", - "baseline_hnet": 74966, - "reformed_hnet": 74932, - "change": -34 + "baseline_hnet": 75762, + "reformed_hnet_nominal": 75784, + "reformed_hnet_real": 75784, + "change_nominal": 22, + "change_real": 22 }, { + "year": 2026, "group": "Single pensioner", - "baseline_hnet": 27033, - "reformed_hnet": 27027, - "change": -6 + "baseline_hnet": 25853, + "reformed_hnet_nominal": 25856, + "reformed_hnet_real": 25856, + "change_nominal": 3, + "change_real": 3 }, { + "year": 2026, "group": "Pensioner couple", - "baseline_hnet": 54118, - "reformed_hnet": 54121, - "change": 3 + "baseline_hnet": 52677, + "reformed_hnet_nominal": 52686, + "reformed_hnet_real": 52686, + "change_nominal": 9, + "change_real": 9 + }, + { + "year": 2027, + "group": "Single adult, no children", + "baseline_hnet": 28050, + "reformed_hnet_nominal": 28043, + "reformed_hnet_real": 27493, + "change_nominal": -7, + "change_real": -1 + }, + { + "year": 2027, + "group": "Couple, no children", + "baseline_hnet": 71313, + "reformed_hnet_nominal": 71388, + "reformed_hnet_real": 69989, + "change_nominal": 75, + "change_real": 87 + }, + { + "year": 2027, + "group": "Single parent", + "baseline_hnet": 38534, + "reformed_hnet_nominal": 38502, + "reformed_hnet_real": 37747, + "change_nominal": -32, + "change_real": -24 + }, + { + "year": 2027, + "group": "Couple with children", + "baseline_hnet": 76982, + "reformed_hnet_nominal": 76972, + "reformed_hnet_real": 75463, + "change_nominal": -9, + "change_real": 6 + }, + { + "year": 2027, + "group": "Single pensioner", + "baseline_hnet": 26280, + "reformed_hnet_nominal": 26281, + "reformed_hnet_real": 25765, + "change_nominal": 1, + "change_real": 6 + }, + { + "year": 2027, + "group": "Pensioner couple", + "baseline_hnet": 53563, + 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+43308.406,-8.125,-8.125,4 diff --git a/public/data/household_stats.json b/public/data/household_stats.json index d3ffea0..f91c494 100644 --- a/public/data/household_stats.json +++ b/public/data/household_stats.json @@ -1,38 +1,212 @@ [ { + "year": 2026, "group": "Single adult, no children", - "mean_hnet": 29438, - "median_hnet": 24215, - "weighted_n": 8135470 + "mean_hnet": 27647, + "median_hnet": 23876, + "weighted_n": 5487196 }, { + "year": 2026, "group": "Couple, no children", - "mean_hnet": 64188, - "median_hnet": 54442, - "weighted_n": 10806929 + "mean_hnet": 70150, + "median_hnet": 59006, + "weighted_n": 8763130 }, { + "year": 2026, "group": "Single parent", - "mean_hnet": 39886, - "median_hnet": 36933, - "weighted_n": 2516884 + "mean_hnet": 37993, + "median_hnet": 35597, + "weighted_n": 2034406 }, { + "year": 2026, "group": "Couple with children", - "mean_hnet": 74966, - "median_hnet": 63045, - "weighted_n": 6611670 + "mean_hnet": 75762, + "median_hnet": 64338, + "weighted_n": 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22718, + "weighted_n": 3906005 + }, + { + "year": 2027, + "group": "Pensioner couple", + "mean_hnet": 53563, + "median_hnet": 48505, + "weighted_n": 4791116 + }, + { + "year": 2028, + "group": "Single adult, no children", + "mean_hnet": 28510, + "median_hnet": 24532, + "weighted_n": 5529528 + }, + { + "year": 2028, + "group": "Couple, no children", + "mean_hnet": 72625, + "median_hnet": 60898, + "weighted_n": 8830735 + }, + { + "year": 2028, + "group": "Single parent", + "mean_hnet": 39125, + "median_hnet": 36492, + "weighted_n": 2050101 + }, + { + "year": 2028, + "group": "Couple with children", + "mean_hnet": 78200, + "median_hnet": 66446, + "weighted_n": 6755755 + }, + { + "year": 2028, + "group": "Single pensioner", + "mean_hnet": 26665, + "median_hnet": 22976, + "weighted_n": 3921629 + }, + { + "year": 2028, + "group": "Pensioner couple", + "mean_hnet": 54396, + "median_hnet": 49344, + "weighted_n": 4810280 + }, + { + "year": 2029, + "group": "Single adult, no children", + "mean_hnet": 28974, + "median_hnet": 24878, + "weighted_n": 5553858 + }, + { + "year": 2029, + "group": "Couple, no children", + "mean_hnet": 73700, + "median_hnet": 61662, + "weighted_n": 8869591 + }, + { + "year": 2029, + "group": "Single parent", + "mean_hnet": 39720, + "median_hnet": 37036, + "weighted_n": 2059121 + }, + { + "year": 2029, + "group": "Couple with children", + "mean_hnet": 79390, + "median_hnet": 67388, + "weighted_n": 6785480 + }, + { + "year": 2029, + "group": "Single pensioner", + "mean_hnet": 27058, + "median_hnet": 23223, + "weighted_n": 3938884 + }, + { + "year": 2029, + "group": "Pensioner couple", + "mean_hnet": 55211, + "median_hnet": 50027, + "weighted_n": 4831445 + }, + { + "year": 2030, + "group": "Single adult, no children", + "mean_hnet": 29479, + "median_hnet": 25242, + "weighted_n": 5578851 + }, + { + "year": 2030, + "group": "Couple, no children", + "mean_hnet": 75192, + "median_hnet": 62714, + "weighted_n": 8909504 + }, + { + "year": 2030, + "group": "Single parent", + "mean_hnet": 40215, + "median_hnet": 37382, + "weighted_n": 2068387 + }, + { + "year": 2030, + "group": "Couple with children", + "mean_hnet": 80721, + "median_hnet": 68462, + "weighted_n": 6816015 + }, + { + "year": 2030, + "group": "Single pensioner", + "mean_hnet": 27396, + "median_hnet": 23490, + "weighted_n": 3956609 + }, + { + "year": 2030, + "group": "Pensioner couple", + "mean_hnet": 56021, + "median_hnet": 50725, + "weighted_n": 4853187 } ] \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/public/data/inequality.csv b/public/data/inequality.csv index 26d4759..fa5495f 100644 --- a/public/data/inequality.csv +++ b/public/data/inequality.csv @@ -1,16 +1,16 @@ -year,metric,baseline,reform -2026,gini,0.28264225403383014,0.28264225403383014 -2026,top_10_pct_share,0.24338873248534484,0.24338873248534484 -2026,top_1_pct_share,0.06421276046945473,0.06421276046945473 -2027,gini,0.2839566166296492,0.2839566166296492 -2027,top_10_pct_share,0.24112361610547406,0.24112361610547406 -2027,top_1_pct_share,0.06498068132903656,0.06498068132903656 -2028,gini,0.28544831196233966,0.28544831196233966 -2028,top_10_pct_share,0.24133922403379313,0.24133922403379313 -2028,top_1_pct_share,0.06508929940412486,0.06508929940412486 -2029,gini,0.28668073147264467,0.28668073147264467 -2029,top_10_pct_share,0.24241208304900427,0.24241208304900427 -2029,top_1_pct_share,0.0658162585346852,0.0658162585346852 -2030,gini,0.2884374666524972,0.2884374666524972 -2030,top_10_pct_share,0.24347194378147255,0.24347194378147255 -2030,top_1_pct_share,0.06643822861764408,0.06643822861764408 +year,metric,baseline,reform_nominal,reform_real +2026,gini,0.28291195949308817,0.282743616786075,0.282743616786075 +2026,top_10_pct_share,0.24028316663722432,0.24014494548121476,0.24014494548121476 +2026,top_1_pct_share,0.06448224582651775,0.06423838226543441,0.06423838226543441 +2027,gini,0.2842003744929869,0.2845518649059099,0.28455186463868415 +2027,top_10_pct_share,0.24025349142671878,0.2405346533086001,0.24053465415330955 +2027,top_1_pct_share,0.06382009081093477,0.06412096507564989,0.06412096527303157 +2028,gini,0.28588488792559646,0.2860221529330154,0.2860221528580134 +2028,top_10_pct_share,0.2425271346494153,0.24252668996899426,0.24252668967508842 +2028,top_1_pct_share,0.06496273311571045,0.06503612888528176,0.0650361290247345 +2029,gini,0.2868648845495297,0.2867903987629185,0.28679040006718093 +2029,top_10_pct_share,0.24169740521303365,0.24152175080891358,0.24152175146097346 +2029,top_1_pct_share,0.06443141788046869,0.06437224754283671,0.06437224828905778 +2030,gini,0.2891819010569601,0.2890009249391396,0.2890009244725892 +2030,top_10_pct_share,0.2432481679345802,0.24287518823126414,0.24287518854102044 +2030,top_1_pct_share,0.06536563048246652,0.06506871296817356,0.06506871276297052 diff --git a/public/data/intra_decile.csv b/public/data/intra_decile.csv index f75698d..3fd99fc 100644 --- a/public/data/intra_decile.csv +++ b/public/data/intra_decile.csv @@ -1,276 +1,276 @@ -year,decile,outcome,share -2026,1st,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2026,1st,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2026,1st,No change,1.0 -2026,1st,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2026,1st,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2026,2nd,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2026,2nd,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2026,2nd,No change,1.0 -2026,2nd,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2026,2nd,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2026,3rd,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2026,3rd,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2026,3rd,No change,1.0 -2026,3rd,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2026,3rd,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2026,4th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2026,4th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2026,4th,No change,1.0 -2026,4th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2026,4th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2026,5th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2026,5th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2026,5th,No change,1.0 -2026,5th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2026,5th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2026,6th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2026,6th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2026,6th,No change,1.0 -2026,6th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2026,6th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2026,7th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2026,7th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2026,7th,No change,1.0 -2026,7th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2026,7th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2026,8th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2026,8th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2026,8th,No change,1.0 -2026,8th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2026,8th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2026,9th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2026,9th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2026,9th,No change,1.0 -2026,9th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2026,9th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2026,10th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2026,10th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2026,10th,No change,1.0 -2026,10th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2026,10th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2026,All,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2026,All,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2026,All,No change,1.0 -2026,All,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2026,All,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2027,1st,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2027,1st,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2027,1st,No change,1.0 -2027,1st,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2027,1st,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2027,2nd,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2027,2nd,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2027,2nd,No change,1.0 -2027,2nd,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2027,2nd,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2027,3rd,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2027,3rd,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2027,3rd,No change,1.0 -2027,3rd,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2027,3rd,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2027,4th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2027,4th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2027,4th,No change,1.0 -2027,4th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2027,4th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2027,5th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2027,5th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2027,5th,No change,1.0 -2027,5th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2027,5th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2027,6th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2027,6th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2027,6th,No change,1.0 -2027,6th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2027,6th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2027,7th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2027,7th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2027,7th,No change,1.0 -2027,7th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2027,7th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2027,8th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2027,8th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2027,8th,No change,1.0 -2027,8th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2027,8th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2027,9th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2027,9th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2027,9th,No change,1.0 -2027,9th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2027,9th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2027,10th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2027,10th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2027,10th,No change,1.0 -2027,10th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2027,10th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2027,All,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2027,All,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2027,All,No change,1.0 -2027,All,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2027,All,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2028,1st,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2028,1st,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2028,1st,No change,1.0 -2028,1st,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2028,1st,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2028,2nd,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2028,2nd,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2028,2nd,No change,1.0 -2028,2nd,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2028,2nd,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2028,3rd,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2028,3rd,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2028,3rd,No change,1.0 -2028,3rd,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2028,3rd,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2028,4th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2028,4th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2028,4th,No change,1.0 -2028,4th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2028,4th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2028,5th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2028,5th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2028,5th,No change,1.0 -2028,5th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2028,5th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2028,6th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2028,6th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2028,6th,No change,1.0 -2028,6th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2028,6th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2028,7th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2028,7th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2028,7th,No change,1.0 -2028,7th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2028,7th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2028,8th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2028,8th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2028,8th,No change,1.0 -2028,8th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2028,8th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2028,9th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2028,9th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2028,9th,No change,1.0 -2028,9th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2028,9th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2028,10th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2028,10th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2028,10th,No change,1.0 -2028,10th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2028,10th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2028,All,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2028,All,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2028,All,No change,1.0 -2028,All,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2028,All,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2029,1st,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2029,1st,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2029,1st,No change,1.0 -2029,1st,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2029,1st,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2029,2nd,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2029,2nd,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2029,2nd,No change,1.0 -2029,2nd,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2029,2nd,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2029,3rd,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2029,3rd,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2029,3rd,No change,1.0 -2029,3rd,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2029,3rd,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2029,4th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2029,4th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2029,4th,No change,1.0 -2029,4th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2029,4th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2029,5th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2029,5th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2029,5th,No change,1.0 -2029,5th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2029,5th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2029,6th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2029,6th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2029,6th,No change,1.0 -2029,6th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2029,6th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2029,7th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2029,7th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2029,7th,No change,1.0 -2029,7th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2029,7th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2029,8th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2029,8th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2029,8th,No change,1.0 -2029,8th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2029,8th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2029,9th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2029,9th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2029,9th,No change,1.0 -2029,9th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2029,9th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2029,10th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2029,10th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2029,10th,No change,1.0 -2029,10th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2029,10th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2029,All,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2029,All,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2029,All,No change,1.0 -2029,All,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2029,All,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2030,1st,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2030,1st,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2030,1st,No change,1.0 -2030,1st,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2030,1st,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2030,2nd,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2030,2nd,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2030,2nd,No change,1.0 -2030,2nd,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2030,2nd,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2030,3rd,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2030,3rd,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2030,3rd,No change,1.0 -2030,3rd,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2030,3rd,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2030,4th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2030,4th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2030,4th,No change,1.0 -2030,4th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2030,4th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2030,5th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2030,5th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2030,5th,No change,1.0 -2030,5th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2030,5th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2030,6th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2030,6th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2030,6th,No change,1.0 -2030,6th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2030,6th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2030,7th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2030,7th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2030,7th,No change,1.0 -2030,7th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2030,7th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2030,8th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2030,8th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2030,8th,No change,1.0 -2030,8th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2030,8th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2030,9th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2030,9th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2030,9th,No change,1.0 -2030,9th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2030,9th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2030,10th,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2030,10th,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2030,10th,No change,1.0 -2030,10th,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2030,10th,Gain more than 5%,0.0 -2030,All,Lose more than 5%,0.0 -2030,All,Lose less than 5%,0.0 -2030,All,No change,1.0 -2030,All,Gain less than 5%,0.0 -2030,All,Gain more than 5%,0.0 +year,decile,outcome,share_nominal,share_real +2026,1st,Lose more than 5%,0.003588456128435063,0.003588456128435063 +2026,1st,Lose less than 5%,0.0040980518038138385,0.0040980518038138385 +2026,1st,No change,0.9477600002451908,0.9477600002451908 +2026,1st,Gain less than 5%,0.04316734269823038,0.04316734269823038 +2026,1st,Gain more than 5%,0.0013861491243300102,0.0013861491243300102 +2026,2nd,Lose more than 5%,0.0014519814345184962,0.0014519814345184962 +2026,2nd,Lose less than 5%,0.00152994179735113,0.00152994179735113 +2026,2nd,No change,0.9763020334870605,0.9763020334870605 +2026,2nd,Gain less than 5%,0.019278491166723834,0.019278491166723834 +2026,2nd,Gain more than 5%,0.0014375521143460287,0.0014375521143460287 +2026,3rd,Lose more than 5%,1.134064713466854e-05,1.134064713466854e-05 +2026,3rd,Lose less than 5%,0.0015791426335324097,0.0015791426335324097 +2026,3rd,No change,0.9851807796384523,0.9851807796384523 +2026,3rd,Gain less than 5%,0.010861547930898451,0.010861547930898451 +2026,3rd,Gain more than 5%,0.0023671891499821365,0.0023671891499821365 +2026,4th,Lose more than 5%,1.352600574963601e-05,1.352600574963601e-05 +2026,4th,Lose less than 5%,0.0003390258063541088,0.0003390258063541088 +2026,4th,No change,0.997294759099829,0.997294759099829 +2026,4th,Gain less than 5%,0.0015196415025011908,0.0015196415025011908 +2026,4th,Gain more than 5%,0.0008330475855660725,0.0008330475855660725 +2026,5th,Lose more than 5%,0.0051356091973205975,0.0051356091973205975 +2026,5th,Lose less than 5%,0.0009182962414090315,0.0009182962414090315 +2026,5th,No change,0.9916329829786502,0.9916329829786502 +2026,5th,Gain less than 5%,0.0022977545785939444,0.0022977545785939444 +2026,5th,Gain more than 5%,1.5357004026221944e-05,1.5357004026221944e-05 +2026,6th,Lose more than 5%,0.0001034603029005416,0.0001034603029005416 +2026,6th,Lose less than 5%,0.0003948357108072325,0.0003948357108072325 +2026,6th,No change,0.9970526853233909,0.9970526853233909 +2026,6th,Gain less than 5%,0.0022032321426259088,0.0022032321426259088 +2026,6th,Gain more than 5%,0.0002457865202754973,0.0002457865202754973 +2026,7th,Lose more than 5%,0.006701531753188732,0.006701531753188732 +2026,7th,Lose less than 5%,0.00020084146290064484,0.00020084146290064484 +2026,7th,No change,0.9872816377986482,0.9872816377986482 +2026,7th,Gain less than 5%,0.005649270609415134,0.005649270609415134 +2026,7th,Gain more than 5%,0.0001667183758472417,0.0001667183758472417 +2026,8th,Lose more than 5%,7.885230298477537e-05,7.885230298477537e-05 +2026,8th,Lose less than 5%,1.600165143458112e-05,1.600165143458112e-05 +2026,8th,No change,0.9897843353128988,0.9897843353128988 +2026,8th,Gain less than 5%,0.009524639355917736,0.009524639355917736 +2026,8th,Gain more than 5%,0.0005961713767640827,0.0005961713767640827 +2026,9th,Lose more than 5%,0.0,0.0 +2026,9th,Lose less than 5%,0.0,0.0 +2026,9th,No change,0.9861350878257589,0.9861350878257589 +2026,9th,Gain less than 5%,0.013862308570134794,0.013862308570134794 +2026,9th,Gain more than 5%,2.6036041063458904e-06,2.6036041063458904e-06 +2026,10th,Lose more than 5%,0.005089949299462445,0.005089949299462445 +2026,10th,Lose less than 5%,0.0,0.0 +2026,10th,No change,0.956282643195625,0.956282643195625 +2026,10th,Gain less than 5%,0.03236474862711772,0.03236474862711772 +2026,10th,Gain more than 5%,0.006262658877794868,0.006262658877794868 +2026,All,Lose more than 5%,0.0022174707071694957,0.0022174707071694957 +2026,All,Lose less than 5%,0.0009076137107602977,0.0009076137107602977 +2026,All,No change,0.9814706944905505,0.9814706944905505 +2026,All,Gain less than 5%,0.014072897718215908,0.014072897718215908 +2026,All,Gain more than 5%,0.0013313233733038506,0.0013313233733038506 +2027,1st,Lose more than 5%,0.0039047779593303724,0.0057258286492013815 +2027,1st,Lose less than 5%,0.2910341384393943,0.23733195943658875 +2027,1st,No change,0.5225717572364299,0.568529057712456 +2027,1st,Gain less than 5%,0.1811943936550268,0.18714116424432745 +2027,1st,Gain more than 5%,0.0012949327098185877,0.0012719899574263403 +2027,2nd,Lose more than 5%,0.0014665986514748879,0.0022436083443566138 +2027,2nd,Lose less than 5%,0.37947893500922103,0.3230994951667567 +2027,2nd,No change,0.44241518271432184,0.4666583936742274 +2027,2nd,Gain less than 5%,0.17519080978879928,0.2067887275747674 +2027,2nd,Gain more than 5%,0.0014484738361829942,0.001209775239891897 +2027,3rd,Lose more than 5%,1.1377997708996649e-05,2.3585260728679517e-05 +2027,3rd,Lose less than 5%,0.32037457302116984,0.24771554057680137 +2027,3rd,No change,0.5684511027483009,0.6166056948564966 +2027,3rd,Gain less than 5%,0.10859031160768223,0.13308381087247886 +2027,3rd,Gain more than 5%,0.002572634625138189,0.0025713684334945416 +2027,4th,Lose more than 5%,0.0002463074954584472,0.0002794035605248458 +2027,4th,Lose less than 5%,0.2681531522530694,0.1896287249502328 +2027,4th,No change,0.6518901302254578,0.6875026836333288 +2027,4th,Gain less than 5%,0.07910469603871159,0.12198347386861084 +2027,4th,Gain more than 5%,0.0006057139873026753,0.0006057139873026753 +2027,5th,Lose more than 5%,0.005143827901174483,0.005151733439141025 +2027,5th,Lose less than 5%,0.2235366319021381,0.14092562012737125 +2027,5th,No change,0.7288277378236272,0.737206439086952 +2027,5th,Gain less than 5%,0.04248061406204653,0.116705019035522 +2027,5th,Gain more than 5%,1.1188311013705845e-05,1.1188311013705845e-05 +2027,6th,Lose more than 5%,0.00010187716925605217,0.0008535618099962039 +2027,6th,Lose less than 5%,0.12199957542685184,0.10152670149824512 +2027,6th,No change,0.8433435425804002,0.7781435955080515 +2027,6th,Gain less than 5%,0.03429005089595294,0.11924904912468628 +2027,6th,Gain more than 5%,0.00026495392753897744,0.00022709205902102464 +2027,7th,Lose more than 5%,0.00020482778459988786,0.00021411832067491204 +2027,7th,Lose less than 5%,0.14020264919276448,0.10912460529653056 +2027,7th,No change,0.8381395583200397,0.8320379978899822 +2027,7th,Gain less than 5%,0.02128546277818536,0.05845577656840188 +2027,7th,Gain more than 5%,0.00016750192441054355,0.00016750192441054355 +2027,8th,Lose more than 5%,0.0064861918409962315,0.007050409279490119 +2027,8th,Lose less than 5%,0.06420511190322528,0.035931594408148027 +2027,8th,No change,0.9167701951809388,0.8821598829435128 +2027,8th,Gain less than 5%,0.01194587718532085,0.07482970691782424 +2027,8th,Gain more than 5%,0.0005926238895187958,2.8406451024908463e-05 +2027,9th,Lose more than 5%,0.0,0.0019110891744820763 +2027,9th,Lose less than 5%,0.02213026137145353,0.019089794988703335 +2027,9th,No change,0.9708726052694878,0.9331466221803508 +2027,9th,Gain less than 5%,0.006994520858798827,0.04585249365646372 +2027,9th,Gain more than 5%,2.6125002598258946e-06,0.0 +2027,10th,Lose more than 5%,0.0002697160729275004,0.0002697160729275004 +2027,10th,Lose less than 5%,0.029889163707232897,0.0036780404955479313 +2027,10th,No change,0.951680591728465,0.9539270376495244 +2027,10th,Gain less than 5%,0.013175523493108847,0.03714020078373443 +2027,10th,Gain more than 5%,0.004985004998265785,0.004985004998265785 +2027,All,Lose more than 5%,0.0017835502872926858,0.002372305391152336 +2027,All,Lose less than 5%,0.18610041922265208,0.1408052076944926 +2027,All,No change,0.743496240382747,0.7455917405134882 +2027,All,Gain less than 5%,0.06742522603636332,0.11012294226468171 +2027,All,Gain more than 5%,0.0011945640709450079,0.0011078041361851421 +2028,1st,Lose more than 5%,0.00412615585662092,0.006823840175410107 +2028,1st,Lose less than 5%,0.29299780165107403,0.15791862468768514 +2028,1st,No change,0.5177895473827401,0.36566002693828414 +2028,1st,Gain less than 5%,0.18379174683628424,0.46926117203938333 +2028,1st,Gain more than 5%,0.0012947482732808325,0.00033633615923731925 +2028,2nd,Lose more than 5%,0.001672931242976737,0.0030820419605822155 +2028,2nd,Lose less than 5%,0.39543962306691377,0.16612980879001832 +2028,2nd,No change,0.42651593403508303,0.4286267060708422 +2028,2nd,Gain less than 5%,0.1749127173157391,0.40174405968542004 +2028,2nd,Gain more than 5%,0.0014587943392874113,0.00041738349313730124 +2028,3rd,Lose more than 5%,2.614464940352919e-05,0.0018686849472051561 +2028,3rd,Lose less than 5%,0.3355061279825,0.11974786317098139 +2028,3rd,No change,0.5563156035673287,0.44557522031838065 +2028,3rd,Gain less than 5%,0.10581208065241922,0.4323107287128859 +2028,3rd,Gain more than 5%,0.0023400431483486094,0.0004975028505469826 +2028,4th,Lose more than 5%,0.00028368168594097105,0.00028368168594097105 +2028,4th,Lose less than 5%,0.2628442719683398,0.10463725743241552 +2028,4th,No change,0.6556856008148754,0.39947118263843595 +2028,4th,Gain less than 5%,0.08056821953118709,0.4949896522435509 +2028,4th,Gain more than 5%,0.0006182259996566861,0.0006182259996566861 +2028,5th,Lose more than 5%,0.005200697070092856,0.005202036694235284 +2028,5th,Lose less than 5%,0.2622321371414398,0.09046176743906918 +2028,5th,No change,0.6906965421761894,0.367322572494364 +2028,5th,Gain less than 5%,0.04185945373910528,0.5370037931233013 +2028,5th,Gain more than 5%,1.1169873172618614e-05,9.830249030190706e-06 +2028,6th,Lose more than 5%,0.0001996102037046133,0.001051643499545431 +2028,6th,Lose less than 5%,0.13832375707947284,0.060527883532098245 +2028,6th,No change,0.8275591119081064,0.24764907255826557 +2028,6th,Gain less than 5%,0.0334675886594447,0.6905522583817946 +2028,6th,Gain more than 5%,0.00044993214927159113,0.00021914202829625894 +2028,7th,Lose more than 5%,1.4182604033877353e-05,0.0002137809612838276 +2028,7th,Lose less than 5%,0.1532502544217765,0.06112173583363147 +2028,7th,No change,0.8263613520803271,0.31336047201497036 +2028,7th,Gain less than 5%,0.019506957833639222,0.6246363564871411 +2028,7th,Gain more than 5%,0.0008672530602232108,0.0006676547029732605 +2028,8th,Lose more than 5%,0.0065641998140156645,0.007163951049838422 +2028,8th,Lose less than 5%,0.058988756458410244,0.01940900853060521 +2028,8th,No change,0.9272874196375103,0.21504816569510907 +2028,8th,Gain less than 5%,0.006559872854241127,0.7583788747244473 +2028,8th,Gain more than 5%,0.0005997512358227571,0.0 +2028,9th,Lose more than 5%,0.001615779841715802,0.001874977596516371 +2028,9th,Lose less than 5%,0.04824553204862797,0.011215902712493836 +2028,9th,No change,0.9488814156128869,0.12086053943354888 +2028,9th,Gain less than 5%,0.0009980747419685947,0.8660485802574408 +2028,9th,Gain more than 5%,0.0002591977548005689,0.0 +2028,10th,Lose more than 5%,9.102661270972437e-05,9.102661270972437e-05 +2028,10th,Lose less than 5%,0.04716796900677017,0.020015625034102466 +2028,10th,No change,0.9418774892437634,0.06512024136208888 +2028,10th,Gain less than 5%,0.004699751103663274,0.9084156612945569 +2028,10th,Gain more than 5%,0.006163764033093482,0.006357445696542183 +2028,All,Lose more than 5%,0.0019794409581214696,0.002765566518326751 +2028,All,Lose less than 5%,0.19949962308253252,0.08111854771631008 +2028,All,No change,0.7318970016458811,0.296869419952429 +2028,All,Gain less than 5%,0.06521764632676917,0.6183341136949921 +2028,All,Gain more than 5%,0.0014062879866957767,0.0009123521179420183 +2029,1st,Lose more than 5%,0.00413630505008607,0.006951342736868405 +2029,1st,Lose less than 5%,0.2947764189908315,0.1202621546120946 +2029,1st,No change,0.5097619563136442,0.17747608628403885 +2029,1st,Gain less than 5%,0.18991709447803665,0.6949125508569041 +2029,1st,Gain more than 5%,0.001408225167401707,0.00039786551009419964 +2029,2nd,Lose more than 5%,0.0016677495436202522,0.003148781064728544 +2029,2nd,Lose less than 5%,0.4305058519765534,0.1095694059984082 +2029,2nd,No change,0.39125865548147387,0.32114222792561287 +2029,2nd,Gain less than 5%,0.17508474288307024,0.5657671604424093 +2029,2nd,Gain more than 5%,0.0014830001152822216,0.0003724245688411718 +2029,3rd,Lose more than 5%,3.8900068363024575e-05,0.0018685347596033048 +2029,3rd,Lose less than 5%,0.3585854820377803,0.08891638788566078 +2029,3rd,No change,0.5366814780685879,0.2712426731088894 +2029,3rd,Gain less than 5%,0.10237172431334343,0.6374796234251615 +2029,3rd,Gain more than 5%,0.0023224155119252977,0.0004927808206850173 +2029,4th,Lose more than 5%,0.00036032579652245904,0.00036032579652245904 +2029,4th,Lose less than 5%,0.2749315598232694,0.06390366004705599 +2029,4th,No change,0.6415720203645121,0.2118866125734887 +2029,4th,Gain less than 5%,0.082519339283524,0.7232326468507607 +2029,4th,Gain more than 5%,0.0006167547321721812,0.0006167547321721812 +2029,5th,Lose more than 5%,0.00528210160821089,0.0052849048204539366 +2029,5th,Lose less than 5%,0.2767344344623371,0.057296810295227936 +2029,5th,No change,0.675180827967563,0.21978444405883032 +2029,5th,Gain less than 5%,0.042482268546099204,0.717316276621941 +2029,5th,Gain more than 5%,0.0003203674157897475,0.00031756420354670054 +2029,6th,Lose more than 5%,0.00019957177357058167,0.0010663574929466269 +2029,6th,Lose less than 5%,0.16115169643166669,0.04319556168594832 +2029,6th,No change,0.8051892538229417,0.12013128123200412 +2029,6th,Gain less than 5%,0.033009687935410766,0.8354027483145652 +2029,6th,Gain more than 5%,0.00044979003641029973,0.0002040512745357295 +2029,7th,Lose more than 5%,1.410655115725516e-05,0.00037897579176928423 +2029,7th,Lose less than 5%,0.1552917192619132,0.04004385688532376 +2029,7th,No change,0.8249423233048077,0.11538545441840846 +2029,7th,Gain less than 5%,0.01886764021503835,0.843672371478027 +2029,7th,Gain more than 5%,0.0008842106670835449,0.0005193414264715159 +2029,8th,Lose more than 5%,0.006519813036798466,0.007115508781694153 +2029,8th,Lose less than 5%,0.062061948517701256,0.01983967461828694 +2029,8th,No change,0.9174819464872851,0.05238464375028705 +2029,8th,Gain less than 5%,0.013340596213319511,0.9206601728497319 +2029,8th,Gain more than 5%,0.0005956957448956867,0.0 +2029,9th,Lose more than 5%,0.001622508194117665,0.0018827852876894273 +2029,9th,Lose less than 5%,0.05858450881835301,0.01225010925822873 +2029,9th,No change,0.9379172342671173,0.04704321913604213 +2029,9th,Gain less than 5%,0.0016154716268403577,0.9388238863180397 +2029,9th,Gain more than 5%,0.0002602770935717622,0.0 +2029,10th,Lose more than 5%,0.007733405936848057,0.00767868539991179 +2029,10th,Lose less than 5%,0.05621531168835989,0.027971771607830206 +2029,10th,No change,0.9349590854045848,0.028977060405209948 +2029,10th,Gain less than 5%,0.0010723121198103595,0.9353547544811075 +2029,10th,Gain more than 5%,1.988485039683772e-05,1.7728105940507652e-05 +2029,All,Lose more than 5%,0.0027574787559294716,0.0035736201932187934 +2029,All,Lose less than 5%,0.21288389320087658,0.05832493928940654 +2029,All,No change,0.7174944781482517,0.1565453702892812 +2029,All,Gain less than 5%,0.0660280877614493,0.7812622191638647 +2029,All,Gain more than 5%,0.0008360621334929286,0.00029385106422870236 +2030,1st,Lose more than 5%,0.0067005225549827685,0.009865217195986988 +2030,1st,Lose less than 5%,0.4519116964321259,0.29663995314746744 +2030,1st,No change,0.3403410303560371,0.15920675848944557 +2030,1st,Gain less than 5%,0.19914129099618627,0.5335565519246539 +2030,1st,Gain more than 5%,0.0019054596606678013,0.0007315192424459723 +2030,2nd,Lose more than 5%,0.0003184392090771974,0.0017139420760449928 +2030,2nd,Lose less than 5%,0.4695644925821656,0.347985541072753 +2030,2nd,No change,0.3572827558234632,0.12315363839606965 +2030,2nd,Gain less than 5%,0.17134022669472834,0.526680874506044 +2030,2nd,Gain more than 5%,0.001494085690565774,0.00046600394908843034 +2030,3rd,Lose more than 5%,4.5139820381744196e-05,0.0018953261897450833 +2030,3rd,Lose less than 5%,0.43977712629951793,0.23888982139565054 +2030,3rd,No change,0.45444768621332776,0.20570900403587883 +2030,3rd,Gain less than 5%,0.10336671372892235,0.5529927008102387 +2030,3rd,Gain more than 5%,0.0023633339378501986,0.0005131475684868593 +2030,4th,Lose more than 5%,0.0008249493751393884,0.00012324835949179656 +2030,4th,Lose less than 5%,0.31039826589588787,0.16714168043083005 +2030,4th,No change,0.6037219486037311,0.14547290728387716 +2030,4th,Gain less than 5%,0.08420715067676277,0.6864144784773221 +2030,4th,Gain more than 5%,0.0008476854484788901,0.0008476854484788901 +2030,5th,Lose more than 5%,0.005283008574863911,0.005285788412145492 +2030,5th,Lose less than 5%,0.2827558132059203,0.1287654114370972 +2030,5th,No change,0.6679601735925388,0.15430179786038029 +2030,5th,Gain less than 5%,0.04388298646664175,0.7115317639676234 +2030,5th,Gain more than 5%,0.00011801816003505972,0.00011523832275347928 +2030,6th,Lose more than 5%,0.0002017735406128133,0.0010686792936866923 +2030,6th,Lose less than 5%,0.17185140334571772,0.08355193643727567 +2030,6th,No change,0.7927301521250152,0.10450930398497753 +2030,6th,Gain less than 5%,0.03476644803878442,0.8106656301262924 +2030,6th,Gain more than 5%,0.00045022294986978115,0.00020445015776757343 +2030,7th,Lose more than 5%,1.4164076802252751e-05,0.00038052122423098766 +2030,7th,Lose less than 5%,0.16597138341165873,0.08818678359772213 +2030,7th,No change,0.8090797528725262,0.07791520839665858 +2030,7th,Gain less than 5%,0.024011558128535303,0.8329607024183395 +2030,7th,Gain more than 5%,0.0009231415104777902,0.0005567843630490553 +2030,8th,Lose more than 5%,0.00655850979215556,0.007157741171641648 +2030,8th,Lose less than 5%,0.07115092361187257,0.042636532872199484 +2030,8th,No change,0.900739030833651,0.028531508364904555 +2030,8th,Gain less than 5%,0.020765658808700686,0.9214875720171203 +2030,8th,Gain more than 5%,0.0007858769536201272,0.0001866455741340386 +2030,9th,Lose more than 5%,0.0016313135207037773,0.0018930031312206612 +2030,9th,Lose less than 5%,0.05916048874876685,0.013818240869355205 +2030,9th,No change,0.9293155195296747,0.045343661149624834 +2030,9th,Gain less than 5%,0.009630988590337789,0.9389450948497994 +2030,9th,Gain more than 5%,0.00026168961051688385,0.0 +2030,10th,Lose more than 5%,0.005104540968884547,0.005106681505243886 +2030,10th,Lose less than 5%,0.03264172216273909,0.005206279611085912 +2030,10th,No change,0.9525290576910078,0.02743603183003722 +2030,10th,Gain less than 5%,0.009408982255817662,0.9619374506684415 +2030,10th,Gain more than 5%,0.00031569692155085025,0.0003135563851915115 +2030,All,Lose more than 5%,0.0026682361433603956,0.003449014855943823 +2030,All,Lose less than 5%,0.24551833156963726,0.14128221808714367 +2030,All,No change,0.6808147107640974,0.10715798197918543 +2030,All,Gain less than 5%,0.07005220043854174,0.7477172819765876 +2030,All,Gain more than 5%,0.0009465210843633158,0.000393503101139581 diff --git a/public/data/metrics.csv b/public/data/metrics.csv index aee647a..bc631f5 100644 --- a/public/data/metrics.csv +++ b/public/data/metrics.csv @@ -1,181 +1,181 @@ year,metric,value -2026,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,9.107179 -2026,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,9.107179 -2026,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2026,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,10.612591 -2026,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,10.612591 -2026,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2026,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.265598 -2026,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.265598 -2026,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2026,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.536504 -2026,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.536504 -2026,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2026,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,12.409129 -2026,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,12.409129 -2026,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2026,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,15.750032 -2026,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,15.750032 +2026,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,9.222137 +2026,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,9.166862 +2026,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_change,-0.055275 +2026,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,10.791318 +2026,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,10.768082 +2026,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,-0.023237 +2026,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.290945 +2026,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.290928 +2026,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_change,-1.6e-05 +2026,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.588282 +2026,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.588244 +2026,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,-3.8e-05 +2026,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,12.401478 +2026,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,12.396188 +2026,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_change,-0.00529 +2026,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,15.546108 +2026,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,15.546108 2026,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2026,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,13.35463 -2026,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,13.35463 -2026,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2026,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,18.770527 -2026,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,18.770527 -2026,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2026,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.232197 -2026,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.232197 +2026,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,13.336021 +2026,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,13.313305 +2026,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_change,-0.022716 +2026,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,18.80842 +2026,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,18.771961 +2026,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,-0.03646 +2026,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.239491 +2026,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.239491 2026,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2026,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.181257 -2026,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.181257 +2026,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.296351 +2026,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.296351 2026,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2026,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,17.521589 -2026,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,17.521589 -2026,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2026,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,23.939609 -2026,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,23.939609 +2026,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,17.598707 +2026,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,17.598707 +2026,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_change,-0.0 +2026,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,24.184121 +2026,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,24.184121 2026,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,9.04952 -2027,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,9.04952 -2027,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,10.518701 -2027,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,10.518701 -2027,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.345104 -2027,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.345104 -2027,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.679116 -2027,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.679116 -2027,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,12.388543 -2027,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,12.388543 -2027,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,15.717565 -2027,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,15.717565 -2027,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,13.41725 -2027,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,13.41725 -2027,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,18.833424 -2027,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,18.833424 -2027,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.339874 -2027,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.339874 -2027,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.527997 -2027,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.527997 +2027,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,9.14579 +2027,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,9.134649 +2027,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_change,-0.011141 +2027,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,10.692338 +2027,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,10.6865 +2027,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,-0.005838 +2027,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.37949 +2027,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.366491 +2027,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.012999 +2027,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.736512 +2027,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.716501 +2027,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.020011 +2027,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,12.388137 +2027,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,12.387444 +2027,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_change,-0.000693 +2027,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,15.531233 +2027,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,15.531238 +2027,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,5e-06 +2027,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,13.571583 +2027,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,13.528316 +2027,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_change,-0.043267 +2027,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,19.429681 +2027,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,19.406092 +2027,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,-0.023589 +2027,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.334287 +2027,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.333836 +2027,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.000451 +2027,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.600287 +2027,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.600287 2027,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,17.747913 -2027,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,17.747913 -2027,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2027,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,24.353597 -2027,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,24.353597 -2027,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,9.069557 -2028,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,9.069557 -2028,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,10.595411 -2028,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,10.595411 -2028,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.347582 -2028,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.347582 -2028,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.678712 -2028,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.678712 -2028,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,12.194376 -2028,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,12.194376 -2028,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,15.405494 -2028,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,15.405494 +2027,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,17.517982 +2027,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,17.547695 +2027,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.029713 +2027,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,24.038955 +2027,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,24.139465 +2027,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.10051 +2028,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,9.179334 +2028,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,9.093217 +2028,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_change,-0.086117 +2028,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,10.785569 +2028,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,10.57192 +2028,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,-0.213649 +2028,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.371227 +2028,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.370941 +2028,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.000287 +2028,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.71633 +2028,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.716061 +2028,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.000269 +2028,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,12.258926 +2028,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,12.252205 +2028,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_change,-0.006722 +2028,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,15.28547 +2028,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,15.28547 2028,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,13.471621 -2028,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,13.471621 -2028,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,18.887681 -2028,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,18.887681 -2028,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.45213 -2028,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.45213 -2028,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.844296 -2028,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.844296 -2028,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,17.943626 -2028,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,17.943626 -2028,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2028,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,24.852258 -2028,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,24.852258 -2028,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,9.059634 -2029,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,9.059634 -2029,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,10.617805 -2029,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,10.617805 -2029,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.345508 -2029,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.345508 -2029,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.671121 -2029,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.671121 +2028,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,13.637378 +2028,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,13.623214 +2028,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_change,-0.014164 +2028,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,19.49775 +2028,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,19.497741 +2028,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,-9e-06 +2028,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.452162 +2028,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.444447 +2028,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.007715 +2028,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.932075 +2028,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.926971 +2028,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.005104 +2028,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,17.691467 +2028,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,17.718362 +2028,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.026895 +2028,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,24.376941 +2028,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,24.457404 +2028,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.080463 +2029,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,9.124487 +2029,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,9.096246 +2029,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_change,-0.028241 +2029,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,10.65257 +2029,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,10.634668 +2029,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,-0.017902 +2029,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.367483 +2029,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.366887 +2029,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.000596 +2029,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.708537 +2029,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.708537 2029,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,12.203281 -2029,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,12.203281 -2029,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,15.401173 -2029,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,15.401173 -2029,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,13.481937 -2029,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,13.481937 -2029,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,18.870106 -2029,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,18.870106 -2029,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.504271 -2029,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.504271 -2029,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.941954 -2029,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.941954 -2029,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,17.974877 -2029,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,17.974877 -2029,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2029,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,24.827236 -2029,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,24.827236 -2029,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,9.209479 -2030,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,9.209479 -2030,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,10.826593 -2030,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,10.826593 -2030,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.397992 -2030,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.397992 -2030,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.75742 -2030,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.75742 -2030,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,12.260051 -2030,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,12.260051 -2030,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,15.182422 -2030,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,15.182422 -2030,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,13.741446 -2030,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,13.741446 -2030,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,19.021678 -2030,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,19.021678 -2030,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.791753 -2030,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.791753 -2030,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,5.308959 -2030,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,5.308959 -2030,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,18.196063 -2030,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,18.196063 -2030,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.0 -2030,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,25.171583 -2030,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,25.171583 -2030,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.0 +2029,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,12.19964 +2029,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,12.207019 +2029,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.007379 +2029,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,15.16929 +2029,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,15.193224 +2029,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.023934 +2029,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,13.655983 +2029,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,13.499908 +2029,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_change,-0.156076 +2029,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,19.49579 +2029,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,19.005252 +2029,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,-0.490538 +2029,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.48269 +2029,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.479853 +2029,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.002837 +2029,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,5.036375 +2029,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,5.033669 +2029,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.002706 +2029,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,18.000178 +2029,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,18.029069 +2029,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.028891 +2029,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,24.891185 +2029,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,24.974945 +2029,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.08376 +2030,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,9.266874 +2030,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,9.221526 +2030,abs_bhc_poverty_rate_change,-0.045347 +2030,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,10.902006 +2030,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,10.862052 +2030,abs_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,-0.039954 +2030,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.451016 +2030,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.446456 +2030,abs_bhc_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.00456 +2030,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,1.786762 +2030,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,1.771653 +2030,abs_bhc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,-0.01511 +2030,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_baseline,12.296566 +2030,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_reform,12.304026 +2030,rel_bhc_poverty_rate_change,0.00746 +2030,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,15.205172 +2030,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_reform,15.260718 +2030,rel_bhc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.055545 +2030,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,13.920852 +2030,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,13.858925 +2030,abs_ahc_poverty_rate_change,-0.061926 +2030,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,19.664388 +2030,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,19.631332 +2030,abs_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,-0.033056 +2030,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,4.664174 +2030,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_reform,4.701743 +2030,abs_ahc_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.037569 +2030,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_baseline,5.39454 +2030,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_reform,5.522416 +2030,abs_ahc_child_deep_poverty_rate_change,0.127876 +2030,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_baseline,18.12895 +2030,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_reform,18.186226 +2030,rel_ahc_poverty_rate_change,0.057277 +2030,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_baseline,25.237747 +2030,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_reform,25.315993 +2030,rel_ahc_child_poverty_rate_change,0.078246 diff --git a/public/data/winners_losers.csv b/public/data/winners_losers.csv index 08200bf..af04e75 100644 --- a/public/data/winners_losers.csv +++ b/public/data/winners_losers.csv @@ -1,56 +1,56 @@ year,decile,pct_gaining,pct_losing,pct_unchanged -2026,1st,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2026,2nd,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2026,3rd,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2026,4th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2026,5th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2026,6th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2026,7th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2026,8th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2026,9th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2026,10th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2026,All,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2027,1st,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2027,2nd,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2027,3rd,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2027,4th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2027,5th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2027,6th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2027,7th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2027,8th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2027,9th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2027,10th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2027,All,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2028,1st,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2028,2nd,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2028,3rd,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2028,4th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2028,5th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2028,6th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2028,7th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2028,8th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2028,9th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2028,10th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2028,All,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2029,1st,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2029,2nd,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2029,3rd,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2029,4th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2029,5th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2029,6th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2029,7th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2029,8th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2029,9th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2029,10th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2029,All,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2030,1st,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2030,2nd,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2030,3rd,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2030,4th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2030,5th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2030,6th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2030,7th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2030,8th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2030,9th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2030,10th,0.0,0.0,100.0 -2030,All,0.0,0.0,100.0 +2026,1st,32.0,38.63,29.37 +2026,2nd,40.9,43.14,15.96 +2026,3rd,24.67,49.64,25.69 +2026,4th,19.55,49.71,30.74 +2026,5th,22.53,49.8,27.67 +2026,6th,22.78,44.21,33.01 +2026,7th,19.32,45.52,35.17 +2026,8th,15.68,38.53,45.8 +2026,9th,13.76,19.43,66.82 +2026,10th,18.4,16.03,65.57 +2026,All,23.29,39.29,37.42 +2027,1st,66.47,27.62,5.91 +2027,2nd,66.27,32.47,1.27 +2027,3rd,63.68,35.29,1.03 +2027,4th,69.78,29.7,0.53 +2027,5th,66.48,30.99,2.53 +2027,6th,75.51,24.13,0.36 +2027,7th,72.02,27.88,0.1 +2027,8th,84.26,15.07,0.66 +2027,9th,89.86,9.73,0.41 +2027,10th,94.65,5.32,0.03 +2027,All,74.54,23.94,1.52 +2028,1st,79.97,19.27,0.76 +2028,2nd,76.56,23.27,0.17 +2028,3rd,70.12,29.09,0.79 +2028,4th,78.17,21.45,0.39 +2028,5th,76.54,23.0,0.46 +2028,6th,85.25,14.1,0.65 +2028,7th,79.83,19.75,0.41 +2028,8th,89.68,9.12,1.2 +2028,9th,95.05,4.5,0.45 +2028,10th,94.96,5.04,0.0 +2028,All,82.43,17.0,0.57 +2029,1st,84.65,14.92,0.44 +2029,2nd,80.9,18.26,0.85 +2029,3rd,79.21,19.24,1.55 +2029,4th,83.6,15.07,1.33 +2029,5th,84.91,14.93,0.17 +2029,6th,88.6,11.37,0.03 +2029,7th,87.33,12.16,0.51 +2029,8th,92.12,5.94,1.94 +2029,9th,95.65,4.31,0.04 +2029,10th,96.93,3.07,0.0 +2029,All,87.21,12.09,0.7 +2030,1st,57.08,42.27,0.65 +2030,2nd,70.9,28.95,0.15 +2030,3rd,70.29,29.5,0.21 +2030,4th,76.9,22.6,0.49 +2030,5th,76.84,23.1,0.06 +2030,6th,85.25,14.75,0.0 +2030,7th,80.34,19.66,0.0 +2030,8th,89.82,10.18,0.0 +2030,9th,94.53,5.47,0.0 +2030,10th,98.81,1.19,0.0 +2030,All,79.38,20.43,0.19 diff --git a/src/components/DetailedBudgetTable.jsx b/src/components/DetailedBudgetTable.jsx index 6e58e0a..1dfa851 100644 --- a/src/components/DetailedBudgetTable.jsx +++ b/src/components/DetailedBudgetTable.jsx @@ -1,44 +1,5 @@ "use client"; -const tableStyle = { - margin: "12px auto 0 auto", - width: "auto", - borderCollapse: "collapse", - fontSize: "14px", - backgroundColor: "#fafafa", - borderRadius: "6px", - overflow: "hidden", -}; -const thStyle = { - textAlign: "left", - padding: "10px 16px", - borderBottom: "2px solid #e5e7eb", - backgroundColor: "#f3f4f6", -}; -const thRightStyle = { - textAlign: "right", - padding: "10px 16px", - borderBottom: "2px solid #e5e7eb", - backgroundColor: "#f3f4f6", -}; -const tdStyle = { - padding: "10px 16px", - borderBottom: "1px solid #e5e7eb", -}; -const tdRightStyle = { - textAlign: "right", - padding: "10px 16px", - borderBottom: "1px solid #e5e7eb", -}; -const groupHeaderStyle = { - padding: "10px 16px", - borderBottom: "1px solid #e5e7eb", - backgroundColor: "#f9fafb", - fontWeight: 600, - fontSize: "13px", - color: "#374151", -}; - const PROGRAM_LABELS = { income_tax: "Income Tax", national_insurance: "National Insurance (employee)", @@ -84,7 +45,7 @@ export default function DetailedBudgetTable({ data, selectedYear }) { const v = parseFloat(value); if (Math.abs(v) < 0.5) return "\u00A30m"; const sign = v >= 0 ? "" : "-"; - return `${sign}\u00A3${Math.abs(v).toFixed(0)}m`; + return `${sign}\u00A3${Math.abs(v).toFixed(0).replace(/\B(?=(\d{3})+(?!\d))/g, ",")}m`; }; const renderGroup = (label, programs) => { @@ -97,18 +58,29 @@ export default function DetailedBudgetTable({ data, selectedYear }) { return ( <> - + {label} {rows.map((row) => ( - + {PROGRAM_LABELS[row.program] || row.program} - {formatValue(row.baseline)} - {formatValue(row.reform)} - {formatValue(row.difference)} + {formatValue(row.baseline)} + {formatValue(row.reform)} + {formatValue(row.difference)} ))} @@ -116,44 +88,29 @@ export default function DetailedBudgetTable({ data, selectedYear }) { }; return ( -

-

- Detailed budgetary breakdown -

+
+

Detailed budgetary breakdown

Per-program impact of revised OBR forecasts on government revenue and - spending. + spending. Values in millions of pounds. Positive difference = fiscal improvement (higher tax revenue or lower spending).

- - - - - - - - - - - {renderGroup("Tax revenue", REVENUE_PROGRAMS)} - {renderGroup("Benefit spending", SPENDING_PROGRAMS)} - -
ProgramNov 2025 ({"\u00A3"}m)Mar 2026 ({"\u00A3"}m)Difference ({"\u00A3"}m)
- -

- Values in millions of pounds. Positive difference = fiscal improvement - (higher tax revenue or lower spending). -

+
+ + + + + + + + + + + {renderGroup("Tax revenue", REVENUE_PROGRAMS)} + {renderGroup("Benefit spending", SPENDING_PROGRAMS)} + +
ProgramNov 2025 ({"\u00A3"}m)Mar 2026 ({"\u00A3"}m)Difference ({"\u00A3"}m)
+
); } diff --git a/src/components/HouseholdArchetypes.jsx b/src/components/HouseholdArchetypes.jsx index 1a61698..02cf445 100644 --- a/src/components/HouseholdArchetypes.jsx +++ b/src/components/HouseholdArchetypes.jsx @@ -1,6 +1,6 @@ "use client"; -import { useState, useEffect } from "react"; +import { useEffect, useState } from "react"; import { BarChart, Bar, @@ -8,7 +8,6 @@ import { YAxis, CartesianGrid, Tooltip, - Legend, ResponsiveContainer, ReferenceLine, } from "recharts"; @@ -35,21 +34,21 @@ function formatCurrencyChange(v) { } function ChangeBarChart({ comparison }) { + const changeField = "change_nominal"; const chartData = comparison .map((d) => ({ group: shorten(d.group), - change: d.change, + change: d[changeField], })) .sort((a, b) => a.change - b.change); return (

- Change in mean household net income by family type + Change in mean household net income by household type

- Difference between Spring Statement and pre-Spring Statement forecasts - (\u00a3/year) + Change in mean household net income by household type, comparing pre- and post-Spring Statement OBR forecasts (£/year)

@@ -100,99 +99,23 @@ function ChangeBarChart({ comparison }) { ); } -function BaselineReformedChart({ comparison }) { - const chartData = comparison - .map((d) => ({ - group: shorten(d.group), - baseline: d.baseline_hnet, - reformed: d.reformed_hnet, - })) - .sort((a, b) => a.baseline - b.baseline); +function HouseholdSummaryTable({ stats, comparison }) { + const reformedField = "reformed_hnet_nominal"; + const changeField = "change_nominal"; return (
-

- Mean household net income by family type -

+

Impact on household income by household type

- Pre-Spring Statement vs Spring Statement forecast (\u00a3/year) + Median and mean household net income by household type, comparing pre- and post-Spring Statement forecasts

-
- - - - - `\u00a3${(v / 1000).toFixed(0)}k` - } - tick={{ fontSize: 12, fill: "#6b7280" }} - /> - - [ - formatCurrency(value) + "/year", - name === "baseline" - ? "Pre-Spring Statement" - : "Spring Statement", - ]} - /> - - value === "baseline" - ? "Pre-Spring Statement" - : "Spring Statement" - } - wrapperStyle={{ fontSize: "0.8rem" }} - /> - - - - -
-
- ); -} - -function HouseholdSummaryTable({ stats, comparison }) { - return ( -
-

Household income summary

- + @@ -202,10 +125,11 @@ function HouseholdSummaryTable({ stats, comparison }) { {stats.map((row) => { const comp = comparison.find((c) => c.group === row.group) || {}; + const change = comp[changeField]; const changeClass = - comp.change > 0 + change > 0 ? "change-positive" - : comp.change < 0 + : change < 0 ? "change-negative" : "change-zero"; return ( @@ -213,12 +137,12 @@ function HouseholdSummaryTable({ stats, comparison }) { - + ); @@ -230,9 +154,9 @@ function HouseholdSummaryTable({ stats, comparison }) { ); } -export default function HouseholdArchetypes() { - const [stats, setStats] = useState(null); - const [comparison, setComparison] = useState(null); +export default function HouseholdArchetypes({ selectedYear }) { + const [allStats, setAllStats] = useState(null); + const [allComparison, setAllComparison] = useState(null); useEffect(() => { Promise.all([ @@ -243,36 +167,25 @@ export default function HouseholdArchetypes() { .then((r) => (r.ok ? r.json() : null)) .catch(() => null), ]).then(([statsData, compData]) => { - setStats(statsData); - setComparison(compData); + setAllStats(statsData); + setAllComparison(compData); }); }, []); - if (!stats || !comparison) return null; + if (!allStats || !allComparison) return null; + + const stats = allStats.filter((d) => d.year === selectedYear); + const comparison = allComparison.filter((d) => d.year === selectedYear); + + if (stats.length === 0 || comparison.length === 0) return null; return (
-

Impact by household type

-

- Using PolicyEngine's microsimulation model, we calculated average - household net income for six household groups under pre-Spring Statement - and Spring Statement 2026 forecasts. These figures represent 2029 - projections. -

+ -
- +
- -
); } diff --git a/src/components/InequalityTable.jsx b/src/components/InequalityTable.jsx index 74be3da..1f5f246 100644 --- a/src/components/InequalityTable.jsx +++ b/src/components/InequalityTable.jsx @@ -1,36 +1,5 @@ "use client"; -const tableStyle = { - margin: "12px auto 0 auto", - width: "auto", - borderCollapse: "collapse", - fontSize: "14px", - backgroundColor: "#fafafa", - borderRadius: "6px", - overflow: "hidden", -}; -const thStyle = { - textAlign: "left", - padding: "10px 16px", - borderBottom: "2px solid #e5e7eb", - backgroundColor: "#f3f4f6", -}; -const thRightStyle = { - textAlign: "right", - padding: "10px 16px", - borderBottom: "2px solid #e5e7eb", - backgroundColor: "#f3f4f6", -}; -const tdStyle = { - padding: "10px 16px", - borderBottom: "1px solid #e5e7eb", -}; -const tdRightStyle = { - textAlign: "right", - padding: "10px 16px", - borderBottom: "1px solid #e5e7eb", -}; - const METRIC_LABELS = { gini: "Gini coefficient", top_10_pct_share: "Top 10% income share", @@ -40,6 +9,8 @@ const METRIC_LABELS = { export default function InequalityTable({ data, selectedYear }) { if (!data) return null; + const reformField = "reform_nominal"; + const filtered = data.filter( (row) => parseInt(row.year) === selectedYear, ); @@ -49,8 +20,8 @@ export default function InequalityTable({ data, selectedYear }) { const formatValue = (metric, value) => { if (value == null || isNaN(value)) return "\u2014"; const v = parseFloat(value); - if (metric === "gini") return v.toFixed(4); - return `${(v * 100).toFixed(1)}%`; + if (metric === "gini") return v.toFixed(2); + return `${(v * 100).toFixed(2)}%`; }; const formatChange = (metric, baseline, reform) => { @@ -60,67 +31,46 @@ export default function InequalityTable({ data, selectedYear }) { const diff = r - b; if (metric === "gini") { const sign = diff >= 0 ? "+" : ""; - return `${sign}${diff.toFixed(4)}`; + return `${sign}${diff.toFixed(2)}`; } const pctDiff = diff * 100; const sign = pctDiff >= 0 ? "+" : ""; - return `${sign}${pctDiff.toFixed(2)}pp`; + return `${sign}${pctDiff.toFixed(2)} pp`; }; return ( -
-

- Inequality impact -

-

- Change in income inequality metrics from revised OBR forecasts. +

+

Inequality impact

+

+ Change in Gini coefficient and top income shares under revised OBR forecasts, based on equivalised household net income

-
Household type Median incomePopulationHouseholds (m) Mean income (pre) Mean income (post) Change{row.group} {formatCurrency(row.median_hnet)} - {Math.round(row.weighted_n).toLocaleString("en-GB")} + {(row.weighted_n / 1e6).toFixed(2)}m {formatCurrency(comp.baseline_hnet)}{formatCurrency(comp.reformed_hnet)}{formatCurrency(comp[reformedField])} - {formatCurrencyChange(comp.change)}/yr + {formatCurrencyChange(change)}/yr
- - - - - - - - - - {["gini", "top_10_pct_share", "top_1_pct_share"].map((metric) => { - const row = filtered.find((r) => r.metric === metric); - if (!row) return null; - return ( - - - - - - - ); - })} - -
MetricNov 2025Mar 2026Change
{METRIC_LABELS[metric]} - {formatValue(metric, row.baseline)} - - {formatValue(metric, row.reform)} - - {formatChange(metric, row.baseline, row.reform)} -
- -

- Based on equivalised household net income. The Gini coefficient ranges - from 0 (perfect equality) to 1 (perfect inequality). -

+
+ + + + + + + + + + + {["gini", "top_10_pct_share", "top_1_pct_share"].map((metric) => { + const row = filtered.find((r) => r.metric === metric); + if (!row) return null; + return ( + + + + + + + ); + })} + +
MetricPre-Spring StatementSpring StatementChange
{METRIC_LABELS[metric]}{formatValue(metric, row.baseline)}{formatValue(metric, row[reformField])}{formatChange(metric, row.baseline, row[reformField])}
+
); } diff --git a/src/components/IntraDecileChart.jsx b/src/components/IntraDecileChart.jsx index a77d717..25b2172 100644 --- a/src/components/IntraDecileChart.jsx +++ b/src/components/IntraDecileChart.jsx @@ -28,9 +28,11 @@ const OUTCOME_ORDER = [ "Gain more than 5%", ]; -export default function IntraDecileChart({ data, selectedYear }) { +export default function IntraDecileChart({ data, selectedYear, termsMode = "nominal" }) { if (!data) return null; + const shareField = `share_${termsMode}`; + const filtered = data.filter( (row) => parseInt(row.year) === selectedYear && row.decile !== "All", @@ -49,7 +51,7 @@ export default function IntraDecileChart({ data, selectedYear }) { const row = filtered.find( (r) => r.decile === decile && r.outcome === outcome, ); - point[outcome] = row ? parseFloat(row.share) * 100 : 0; + point[outcome] = row ? parseFloat(row[shareField]) * 100 : 0; }); return point; }); diff --git a/src/components/PersonalTab.jsx b/src/components/PersonalTab.jsx index ecbaaab..7a500d5 100644 --- a/src/components/PersonalTab.jsx +++ b/src/components/PersonalTab.jsx @@ -56,8 +56,8 @@ const TENURE_TYPES = [ ]; const COLORS = { - positive: "#059669", - negative: "#dc2626", + positive: "#22C55E", + negative: "#EF4444", teal: "#319795", tealDark: "#2c7a7b", text: "#1e293b", diff --git a/src/components/PopulationTab.jsx b/src/components/PopulationTab.jsx index 427ee6b..79caf17 100644 --- a/src/components/PopulationTab.jsx +++ b/src/components/PopulationTab.jsx @@ -2,8 +2,9 @@ import { useState, useMemo, useEffect } from "react"; import { - BarChart, + ComposedChart, Bar, + Line, XAxis, YAxis, CartesianGrid, @@ -11,9 +12,7 @@ import { ResponsiveContainer, ReferenceLine, } from "recharts"; -import IntraDecileChart from "./IntraDecileChart"; import InequalityTable from "./InequalityTable"; -import DetailedBudgetTable from "./DetailedBudgetTable"; import HouseholdArchetypes from "./HouseholdArchetypes"; import parseCSV from "../../lib/parseCSV"; @@ -32,9 +31,10 @@ function MetricsBar({ metrics, winnersLosers, distributional, year }) { (d) => d.year === year && d.decile === "All", ); if (allRow) { + const absChange = allRow.absolute_change_nominal; cards.push({ label: "Average household impact", - value: `${allRow.absolute_change >= 0 ? "+" : ""}\u00a3${allRow.absolute_change.toFixed(0)}/year`, + value: `${absChange >= 0 ? "+" : ""}\u00a3${absChange.toFixed(0)}/year`, }); } } @@ -62,7 +62,7 @@ function MetricsBar({ metrics, winnersLosers, distributional, year }) { ); if (povertyChange) { cards.push({ - label: "Poverty rate change", + label: "Absolute poverty rate (BHC) change", value: `${povertyChange.value >= 0 ? "+" : ""}${povertyChange.value.toFixed(2)} pp`, }); } @@ -82,111 +82,6 @@ function MetricsBar({ metrics, winnersLosers, distributional, year }) { ); } -function DistributionalChart({ data, year }) { - const chartData = useMemo(() => { - if (!data || data.length === 0) return []; - return data - .filter( - (d) => d.year === year && d.decile !== "All" && d.decile !== "Overall", - ) - .map((d) => ({ - decile: d.decile, - impact: d.absolute_change, - })) - .sort( - (a, b) => - DECILE_ORDER.indexOf(a.decile) - DECILE_ORDER.indexOf(b.decile), - ); - }, [data, year]); - - if (chartData.length === 0) return null; - - return ( -
-

Average annual impact by income decile

-

- Change in household net income ({"\u00a3"}/year), {year}- - {(year + 1).toString().slice(-2)} -

-
- - - - - - `${v >= 0 ? "" : "-"}\u00a3${Math.abs(v).toFixed(0)}` - } - tickLine={false} - axisLine={false} - width={70} - allowDecimals={false} - tickCount={6} - label={{ - value: "Change in net income (\u00a3/year)", - angle: -90, - position: "insideLeft", - dx: -8, - style: { - textAnchor: "middle", - fill: "#374151", - fontSize: 12, - fontWeight: 500, - }, - }} - /> - - [ - `${value >= 0 ? "+" : ""}\u00a3${value.toFixed(2)}/year`, - "Impact", - ]} - labelFormatter={(label) => `${label} decile`} - /> - - - -
-

- Decile 1 = lowest income households, Decile 10 = highest income - households. Values show average annual change in household net income. -

-
- ); -} - function WinnersLosersChart({ data, year }) { const chartData = useMemo(() => { if (!data || data.length === 0) return []; @@ -194,12 +89,16 @@ function WinnersLosersChart({ data, year }) { .filter( (d) => d.year === year && d.decile !== "All" && d.decile !== "Overall", ) - .map((d) => ({ - decile: d.decile, - gaining: d.pct_gaining, - losing: d.pct_losing ? -Math.abs(d.pct_losing) : 0, - unchanged: d.pct_unchanged || 0, - })) + .map((d) => { + const gaining = d.pct_gaining; + const losing = d.pct_losing ? -Math.abs(d.pct_losing) : 0; + return { + decile: d.decile, + gaining, + losing, + net: gaining + losing, + }; + }) .sort( (a, b) => DECILE_ORDER.indexOf(a.decile) - DECILE_ORDER.indexOf(b.decile), @@ -212,12 +111,12 @@ function WinnersLosersChart({ data, year }) {

Winners and losers by income decile

- Percentage of households gaining vs losing, {year}- + Share of households seeing a net gain or loss in income under revised OBR forecasts, by income decile, {year}- {(year + 1).toString().slice(-2)}

- [ - `${Math.abs(value).toFixed(1)}%`, - name === "gaining" ? "Gaining" : "Losing", - ]} + formatter={(value, name) => { + if (name === "net") return [`${value >= 0 ? "+" : ""}${value.toFixed(1)}%`, "Net"]; + return [ + `${Math.abs(value).toFixed(1)}%`, + name === "gaining" ? "Gaining" : "Losing", + ]; + }} labelFormatter={(label) => `${label} decile`} /> + - +
@@ -281,39 +193,21 @@ function WinnersLosersChart({ data, year }) { export default function PopulationTab({ data }) { const [selectedYear, setSelectedYear] = useState(2026); - const [extraData, setExtraData] = useState({ - inequality: null, - intraDecile: null, - detailedBudget: null, - }); + const [inequalityData, setInequalityData] = useState(null); - // Load extra CSV files for new components useEffect(() => { - Promise.all([ - fetch("/data/inequality.csv") - .then((r) => (r.ok ? r.text() : null)) - .catch(() => null), - fetch("/data/intra_decile.csv") - .then((r) => (r.ok ? r.text() : null)) - .catch(() => null), - fetch("/data/detailed_budgetary_impact.csv") - .then((r) => (r.ok ? r.text() : null)) - .catch(() => null), - ]).then(([inequality, intraDecile, detailedBudget]) => { - setExtraData({ - inequality: inequality ? parseCSV(inequality) : null, - intraDecile: intraDecile ? parseCSV(intraDecile) : null, - detailedBudget: detailedBudget ? parseCSV(detailedBudget) : null, - }); - }); + fetch("/data/inequality.csv") + .then((r) => (r.ok ? r.text() : null)) + .then((text) => { + if (text) setInequalityData(parseCSV(text)); + }) + .catch(() => null); }, []); - const hasDistributional = - data?.distributional && data.distributional.length > 0; const hasWinnersLosers = data?.winnersLosers && data.winnersLosers.length > 0; - if (!hasDistributional && !hasWinnersLosers) { + if (!hasWinnersLosers) { return (

@@ -327,7 +221,7 @@ export default function PopulationTab({ data }) { return (

-
+
{YEARS.map((year) => (