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follow up on first half of epipredict.Rmd
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vignettes/epipredict.Rmd

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%\VignetteEncoding{UTF-8}
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---
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# Introduction
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```{r, include = FALSE}
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source(here::here("vignettes/_common.R"))
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```
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`step`](https://recipes.tidymodels.org/reference/index.html)
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* _Trainer_: train a model on data, resulting in a fitted model object.
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Examples include linear regression, quantile regression, or [any `{parsnip}`
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engine](https://parsnip.tidymodels.org/reference/index.html).
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engine](https://www.tidymodels.org/find/parsnip/).
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* _Postprocessor_: unique to `{epipredict}`; used to transform the
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predictions after the model has been fit, such as
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- generating quantiles from purely point-prediction models,
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- reverting operations done in the `step`s, such as converting from
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rates back to counts
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- generally adapting the format of the prediction to its eventual use.
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The rest of the "getting started" vignette will focus on using and modifying the canned forecasters.
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Check out the ["guts" vignette](preprocessing-and-models) for examples of using the forecaster
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The rest of this "Get Started" vignette will focus on using and modifying the canned forecasters.
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Check out the [Custom Epiworkflows vignette](preprocessing-and-models) for examples of using the forecaster
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framework to make more complex, custom forecasters.
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If you are interested in time series in a non-panel data context, you may also
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See the function documentation for `arx_args_list()` for more examples of the modifications available.
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If you want to make further modifications, you will need a custom
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workflow; see the ["guts" vignette](custom_epiworkflows) for details.
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workflow; see the [Custom Epiworkflows vignette](custom_epiworkflows) for details.
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## Generating multiple aheads
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Frequently, one doesn't want just a forecast for a single day, but a trajectory
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5 of as these well. You can inspect the layers more closely by running
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`epipredict::extract_layers(four_week_ahead$epi_workflow)`.
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See the ["guts" vignette](custom_epiworkflows) for recreating and then
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See the [Custom Epiworkflows vignette](custom_epiworkflows) for recreating and then
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extending `four_week_ahead` using the custom forecaster framework.
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## Mathematical description

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