This project received high marks for Econ 488 Winter 2022. It leverages synthetic control statistical learning with econometric analysis to develop a causal effect of the move of a national team on local crime.
Abstract: We develop a synthetic control that models a fictional St Louis in which the Rams, formally the NFL team for St Louis, never relocated to Los Angeles, as occurred in 2016. Using crime data From the FBI UCR Program and other demographic information we modeled an effective synthetic St Louis and found a significant decrease in crime in the years following the relocation.