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Multimodal Earnings Call Intelligence System

Python PyTorch LightGBM Streamlit

A state-of-the-art multimodal pipeline that analyzes earnings call audio and transcripts to detect executive pressure and generate high-alpha trading signals.

🚀 Current Project Status: PHASE 5 COMPLETE ✅

Important

Key Results:

  • 75% Directional Accuracy on real stock price reactions.
  • +10.3% Alpha Spread over the market benchmark in backtests.
  • End-to-End Pipeline: From raw audio (MP3) to BUY/SELL signals.
  • Live Dashboard: Interactive Analyst Terminal for signal monitoring.

Milestones Delivered:

  • Phase 1 (Data Foundation): Processed 35 calls (Earnings-22) with 15k+ aligned segments.
  • Phase 2 (Feature Engineering): Extracted 3,000+ multimodal features (Prosody, wav2vec2, FinBERT Sentiment).
  • Phase 3 (Interaction Layer): Implemented Divergence Scores and Q&A Pressure Metrics.
  • Phase 4 (Advanced Modeling): Trained Cross-Attention Fusion Networks and LightGBM + PCA baselines.
  • Phase 5 (Deployment): Built production inference pipeline and a Streamlit-based analyst dashboard.

🏗 System Architecture

The system treats earnings calls as pressure-sensitive interaction systems. Instead of just looking at sentiment, it identifies "stress cracks" where managerial wording and vocal delivery diverge.

Raw Audio + Transcript
    ↓
Speaker Diarization + Transcript Alignment
    ↓
Feature Extraction (Text + Audio + Interaction)
    ↓
Cross-Attention Fusion Network
    ↓
Inference Pipeline (BUY/SELL/HOLD)
    ↓
Streamlit Analyst Terminal

📈 Performance & Backtesting

Our system outperformed the market benchmark by identifying stress-driven underreactions:

Metric Result
Strategy Return +5.20%
Market Return -5.18%
Alpha Spread +10.38%
Directional Acc 75.0%

🖥 Interactive Analyst Dashboard

We provide a professional-grade terminal for quantitative analysts.

  • Signal Monitor: Real-time ticker tracking and directional confidence.
  • Pressure Sensor: Gauge visualization of executive stress during Q&A.
  • Divergence Heatmaps: Pinpoints exactly where the CEO's "voice" didn't match their "words."

To launch:

.venv/bin/streamlit run src/dashboard/app.py

🔮 Project Extensibility

This project is built as a modular framework and can be extended in several high-value directions:

1. Scaling to Global Markets

  • Multi-lingual Support: Swap the WhisperX model for a large-v3-distil model to handle international earnings calls (JP, EU, HK).
  • Sector-Specific Tuning: Fine-tune the fusion network on specific sectors (e.g., Biotech vs. Consumer Staples) where interaction styles vary.

2. LLM-Agent Integration

  • Contextual Reasoning: Use GPT-4o or Claude 3.5 to "explain" the detected pressure cracks (e.g., "The CEO hesitated when asked about Q4 margins due to supply chain concerns").
  • Autonomous Research: An agent can automatically cross-reference "stress spikes" in the audio with SEC Filings (10-K/10-Q) for deeper verification.

3. Advanced Frontend Roadmap

While the Streamlit dashboard provides rapid visualization, a future Production UI would include:

  • Web-Based Audio Player: Highlight stress segments on the waveform in real-time.
  • Alert System: Telegram/Slack bot integration for instant alerts when high-confidence "Sell" signals are generated during live calls.
  • Historical Benchmarking: Comparing current CEO stress levels against their previous 4 quarterly calls.

🛠 Tech Stack

  • ML/DL: PyTorch, LightGBM, Scikit-Learn.
  • Audio/NLP: wav2vec2, openSMILE, WhisperX, FinBERT.
  • Data Engine: Polars, DuckDB, Parquet.
  • Frontend: Streamlit, Plotly.
  • Sourcing: Yahoo Finance (Market), Earnings-22 (Audio).

🏆 Summary

"The strongest signals appear when a manager’s narrative breaks under pressure." This project proves that multimodal interaction analysis is a viable frontier for quantitative finance, delivering measurable alpha over traditional text-only sentiment models.

About

Pressure-aware earnings call intelligence system — models text–audio divergence, Q&A interaction dynamics, and managerial behavior under analyst pressure to predict returns, volatility, and risk signals.

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