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The SHAPE Methodology — AI execution framework. Situation, Hypothesis, Action, Process, Evaluation.

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The SHAPE Methodology

From Pilots That Stall to Systematic Implementation

License: CC BY-SA 4.0 GitHub stars Framework


The SHAPE Methodology

Most AI pilots succeed. Most scaled implementations fail.

The problem is execution methodology, not technology. 95% of AI pilots never achieve enterprise-wide deployment. Organizations lose an average of $1.9 million per failed AI initiative. The pilot-to-scale transition kills more AI projects than technical failure.

The SHAPE Methodology is a five-phase execution framework that bridges the gap between strategy and results:

  • Situation — Assess current state honestly before changing anything
  • Hypothesis — Define measurable success criteria upfront
  • Action — Execute systematic pilots with clear decision frameworks
  • Process — Scale what works through systematic phases
  • Evaluation — Measure continuously and iterate based on evidence

Why SHAPE Exists

Organizations everywhere face the same pattern: A team runs a successful pilot. AI generates promising results. Leadership gets excited. Then someone says "Let's roll this out company-wide."

Six months later, the initiative is quietly shelved. The pilot worked. The scaling didn't.

The problem is execution methodology. Most organizations know what they want AI to do — they've defined goals, identified use cases, secured budget. What they lack is a systematic approach to move from "this works" to "this works at scale."

Who This Is For

  • Implementation leaders who execute AI projects and need systematic methodology for scaling
  • Project managers moving from pilot success to production deployment
  • Team leads optimizing workflows without getting lost in tool comparisons
  • Consultants delivering execution methodology clients can follow independently
  • Anyone who has strategy but struggles with systematic execution

Key Concepts

Takers vs. Shapers vs. Makers

The centerpiece decision framework, backed by research on success rates:

Approach Success Rate Time to Value When to Use
Takers 67% 4-8 weeks Off-the-shelf vendor solutions. Default choice.
Shapers 45% 8-16 weeks Customized vendor solutions for industry-specific needs
Makers 33% 16+ weeks Custom-built solutions for competitive differentiation

Default to Takers unless you have compelling, documented reasons for alternatives. Simple tools that work reliably outperform complex customizations requiring constant maintenance.

The Adoption Readiness Gate

Technical readiness isn't enough. Before scaling, all six factors must be green:

Factor Ready If...
Workflow Integration 3 or fewer steps change for users
Interface Accessibility No IT support required
Training Load Under 4 hours to productive
Fallback Plan Documented manual process exists
User Advocacy Pilot users actively champion expansion
Support Scalability Can handle 5x users without linear headcount

The Complexity Creep Audit

Scheduled monthly during scaling. Complexity creeps in one "reasonable" request at a time. If 3+ red flags appear, pause scaling and simplify before continuing.

Read the Full Guide

The complete methodology with worksheets, templates, examples, and enhancement checklists:

The SHAPE Methodology Field Guide

The PAST + SHAPE Connection

PAST tells you WHAT and WHY. Purpose, Audience, Scope, Tone — strategic clarity about what you're trying to achieve.

SHAPE tells you HOW and WHEN. Systematic execution from assessment through evaluation.

Together they form a complete system from strategy to implementation.

Quick-Start: The Hypothesis Test

Before any AI implementation, write your hypothesis in this format:

"[Specific AI application] will [change named metric] from [baseline number] to [target number] within [timeline]. If [kill criteria], we abandon."

If any element is missing, you have a wish, not a hypothesis. Wishes can't be measured. Hypotheses can.

License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

You are free to:

  • Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format
  • Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, including commercial

Under the following terms:

  • Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made
  • ShareAlike — If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you must distribute your contributions under the same license

Author

Created by Jim Christian — AI implementation specialist, framework creator, and author of Signal Over Noise.

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The SHAPE Methodology — AI execution framework. Situation, Hypothesis, Action, Process, Evaluation.

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