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Quantitative Model Validation Portfolio

This repository showcases industry-style projects for model development and validation in credit risk, market risk, and stress testing.

πŸ“‚ Repo Structure

  • notebooks/ β†’ Exploratory analysis & step-by-step model development
  • src/ β†’ Reusable production-style code (data prep, modeling, validation)
  • reports/ β†’ Governance-style validation reports (PDF/Markdown)
  • docs/ β†’ Methodology notes, regulatory references (SR 11-7, Basel, CECL)

πŸ”Ή Example Project: Credit Risk PD Model

  • Objective: Build and validate a Probability of Default (PD) model
  • Data: Open LendingClub loan dataset
  • Champion Model: Logistic Regression
  • Challenger Model: Random Forest
  • Validation Tests:
    • AUC, KS statistic
    • Calibration plot
    • Population Stability Index (PSI)
  • Deliverables:

πŸš€ Next Steps

  1. Add market risk project (VaR backtesting with Kupiec & Christoffersen tests)
  2. Add stress testing framework (link macro scenarios β†’ portfolio losses)
  3. Expand validation toolkit (benchmarking, challenger-vs-champion)

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