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SINGLE-UTILITY SINGLE-ACTION

We choose Cary as our actor (utility) for this test case.

Characteristics of Cary

Total reservoir capacity: 7.45 bil gal
Receives all of its supply from Jordan Lake
The only utility that operates a water treatment plant on the Jordan Lake

Assumptions

  1. Cary is the only actor in this system
  2. Only Jordan Lake evaporation and inflows are significant to Cary
  3. Cary receives 35.5% of the Jordan Lake inflows
  4. No infrastructure will be triggered throughout the 26 years of simulation
  5. No spillage
  6. Failure criteria: reservoir storage (Jordan Lake) drops below 20% of capacity for at least one week in a given year
  7. Action: Trigger water restriction if system failure occurs

Units

Demands: million gallons/week
Inflows: million gallons/week
Evaporation rate: million gallons/week
Storage: billion gallons

Data files

  1. cary_demand.csv: 250 realizations of 26 years of projected future demands
  2. jordan_lake_evap.csv: 250 realizations of 98 years of synthetic stationary evaporation rates for Jordan Lake
  3. jordan_lake_inflow.csv: 250 realizations of 98 years of synthetic stationary inflows to Jordan Lake

Code files

  1. rof_table_generator.py
    • generates a folder containing the ROF tables for the desired number of realizations
    • ROF tables (csv files) found in the rof_tables folder
    • the rows are the reservoir storage level (0%, 5%,...100%)
    • the columns are the ROF for a week in the demand timeseries
    • 10 realizations takes ~34 minutes
  2. tradeoff.py:
    • conducts ROF evaluation on the synthetic demand, inflow and evaporation rates
    • visualizes the tradeoff between reliability and restriction frequency

REFERENCES

Gold et al 2019, Identifying Actionable Compromises: Navigating Multi-City Robustness Conflicts to Discover Cooperative Safe Operativng Spaces for Regional Water Supply Portfolios

Trindade et al 2019, Deeply uncertain pathways: Integrated multi-city regional water supply infrastructure investment and portfolio management

Zeff et al 2014, Cooperative drought adaptation: Intergrating infrastructure development, conservation, and water transfers into adaptive policy pathways

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