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Research Context

This project was developed alongside a comprehensive literature review of 7 peer-reviewed climate science papers, identifying key gaps in existing research:

  • Most existing studies rely on limited data sources — this project addresses that by analysing 250+ years of records across 243 countries
  • Current research uses outdated statistical methods — this project applies ML-based predictive modelling as an improvement
  • Existing models lack regional granularity — this project identifies priority regions with the highest temperature increases

Key Contributions

  • Enhanced Data Processing — built a preprocessing pipeline using two missing value strategies (removal vs. mean imputation by country) to maximise data retention while maintaining statistical validity
  • Historical Trend Analysis — comprehensive time-series analysis of long-term climate behaviour from the 1850s to present
  • Regional Pattern Identification — identified regions with the most significant temperature changes, useful for climate policy prioritisation
  • Seasonal Variation Analysis — quantified seasonal temperature differences to support climate change adaptation models
  • Predictive Modelling — linear regression forecasting framework serving as a reference for both research and policy planning

Key Findings

  • Global average land temperatures have risen steadily since the 1850s baseline
  • Identified the top 10 countries with the highest recorded temperature increases
  • Mean imputation by country produced cleaner trend lines than row removal, better preserving regional climate variation
  • Predictive model projects continued warming if current trends persist, consistent with the 1.5–2°C thresholds discussed in IPCC literature

Academic Report

This project was completed with a full literature review and academic report.
📄 View the Literature Review Report

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