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Small Council
Enreign edited this page Mar 8, 2026
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For M-sized tasks and above, the skill convenes a "small council" of perspectives to validate the estimate before output.
| Member | Role | Perspective |
|---|---|---|
| Optimist | Best-case analyst | What if everything goes right? Looks for parallelizable work, reducible scope |
| Skeptic | Risk analyst | What's missing? Hidden dependencies, integration surprises, underestimated review |
| Historian | Calibration analyst | How do similar past tasks compare? Reference stories, velocity data |
| Task Size | Council | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| S | None | Overhead exceeds value of validation |
| M | Skeptic only | Quick risk check |
| L | Skeptic + Historian | Risk check + historical comparison |
| XL | Full council | All three perspectives for high-stakes estimates |
- The estimate is computed normally (Phase 3)
- Council members review the estimate from their perspective
- Each gives 2-3 sentences of analysis
- A consensus estimate is produced weighing all perspectives
- Disagreements >20% are flagged for the user
Small Council Review:
Optimist: The collaboration features could leverage existing WebSocket
infrastructure, reducing integration time by ~20%. If the team has done
real-time sync before, the learning curve is minimal.
Skeptic: Conflict resolution algorithms are notoriously tricky — the
30% agent effectiveness for XL tasks may be optimistic here. External
API dependencies for document storage add hidden integration risk.
Historian: Similar real-time collaboration tasks in our reference stories
averaged 1.3x the initial PERT estimate. The data-heavy tasks in this
domain tend to underestimate human fix time.
Consensus: Adjusting estimate upward by ~15% based on historical pattern
and conflict resolution complexity. Flagging integration risk.
The council uses the Agent tool to spawn subagents when available (e.g., in Claude Code). In environments without subagent support, the perspectives are simulated inline.
Getting Started
Core Concepts
- How It Works
- Task Types
- Agent Effectiveness
- Confidence Levels
- Cone of Uncertainty
- PERT Statistics
- Small Council
Reference
Accuracy
Contributors