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tests 30% initial odds of winning #21

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tests 30% initial odds of winning #21

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4 changes: 2 additions & 2 deletions BFTUSk/sim_task.py
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Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -107,15 +107,15 @@ def run_sim(strategy="random", exploit_kill=True, verbose=False, float_vals=None

# ---------- probability path ----------
p_end = np.random.choice(reward_chance_endpoints)
p_lin = np.linspace(0.5, p_end, n_samples)
p_lin = np.linspace(0.3, p_end, n_samples) #adjusted to 30% from 50%; accomadating change for exploit_kill
snr_db = np.random.choice(snr_db_levels)
noise = np.random.normal(0,
np.sqrt(np.mean(p_lin**2)) / (10**(snr_db/20)),
p_lin.shape)
if exploit_kill:
x = np.linspace(0, 1, n_samples) # 0 … last flash
alpha = 2.5 # >1 → slow start, fast finish
p_curve = 0.5 + (p_end - 0.5) * x**alpha # concave ramp
p_curve = 0.3 + (p_end - 0.3) * x**alpha # concave ramp
p_noisy = np.clip(p_curve + noise, 0, 1)
else:
p_noisy = np.clip(p_lin + noise, 0, 1)
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16 changes: 8 additions & 8 deletions scripts/sim_analysis_random.ipynb
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